NFL · 2026
Chicago Bears2nd NFC North - .750 pct vThu 22 Oct, 8:15 PM EDT New England Patriots2nd AFC East - .500 pct
Match resultChicago 56%Tie <1%New England 44%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 10% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 20 points in the Playoffs race.
Chicago Bears
Playoffs59%
Division22%
Conferenceseason odds9%
Super Bowlseason odds5%
Byeseason odds8%
New England Patriots
Playoffs64%
Division42%
Conferenceseason odds11%
Super Bowlseason odds6%
Byeseason odds8%
Chicago winPlayoffsChicago Bears59%85%▲ +26New England Patriots64%58%▼ -6
TiePlayoffsChicago Bears59%70%▲ +11New England Patriots64%72%▲ +8
New England winPlayoffsChicago Bears59%69%▲ +10New England Patriots64%77%▲ +13
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50013JetsDivision7%1-3-0.2502NFC North · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1MinnesotaDivision55%4-0-01.000-2ChicagoDivision22%3-1-0.75013DetroitDivision13%2-2-0.5002The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
6BaltimorePlayoffs61%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.5009PittsburghPlayoffs46%2-2-0.500The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
3ChicagoPlayoffs59%3-1-0.7507CarolinaPlayoffs47%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8AtlantaPlayoffs51%2-2-0.500