NFL · 2026
Chicago Bears2nd NFC North - .750 pct vSun 6 Dec, 1:00 PM EST Jacksonville Jaguars1st AFC South - .750 pct
Match resultChicago 53%Tie <1%Jacksonville 47%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 7% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 17 points in the Playoffs race.
Chicago Bears
Playoffs59%
Division22%
Conferenceseason odds9%
Super Bowlseason odds5%
Byeseason odds8%
Jacksonville Jaguars
Playoffs81%
Division68%
Conferenceseason odds20%
Super Bowlseason odds11%
Byeseason odds19%
Chicago winPlayoffsChicago Bears59%80%▲ +21Jacksonville Jaguars81%95%▲ +14
TiePlayoffsChicago Bears59%64%▲ +5Jacksonville Jaguars81%95%▲ +14
Jacksonville winPlayoffsChicago Bears59%63%▲ +4Jacksonville Jaguars81%98%▲ +17
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC South · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1JacksonvilleDivision68%3-1-0.750-2IndianapolisDivision24%2-2-0.50013*TennesseeDivision3%0-4-0.0003NFC North · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1MinnesotaDivision55%4-0-01.000-2ChicagoDivision22%3-1-0.75013DetroitDivision13%2-2-0.5002The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
2JacksonvillePlayoffs81%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.500The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
3ChicagoPlayoffs59%3-1-0.7507CarolinaPlayoffs47%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8AtlantaPlayoffs51%2-2-0.500