Magic Number.
NFL · 2026

Tampa Bay Buccaneers4th NFC South - .000 pct vSun 1 Nov, 1:00 PM EST Atlanta Falcons2nd NFC South - .500 pct

Match resultTampa Bay 39%Tie <1%Atlanta 60%

What this game means

The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.

At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.

The result is worth up to 21 points in the Playoffs race.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Playoffs9%
Division7%
Atlanta Falcons
Playoffs51%
Division40%
Conferenceseason odds5%
Super Bowlseason odds2%
Byeseason odds4%
Tampa Bay winPlayoffsTampa Bay Buccaneers9%1%▼ -8Atlanta Falcons51%39%▼ -12
TiePlayoffsTampa Bay Buccaneers9%<1%▼ -9Atlanta Falcons51%50%▼ -1
Atlanta winPlayoffsTampa Bay Buccaneers9%<1%▼ -9Atlanta Falcons51%60%▲ +9

The race they're in

Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.

NFC South · winner qualifies direct

DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1CarolinaDivision38%2-2-0.500-2AtlantaDivision40%2-2-0.500-4Tampa BayDivision7%0-4-0.0002

The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify

PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
7CarolinaPlayoffs47%2-2-0.500
Playoff line
8AtlantaPlayoffs51%2-2-0.50016Tampa BayPlayoffs9%0-4-0.000