NFL · 2026
Atlanta Falcons2nd NFC South - .500 pct vSun 15 Nov, 1:00 PM EST Kansas City Chiefs1st AFC West - 1.000 pct
Match resultAtlanta 49%Tie <1%Kansas City 50%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 9% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 20 points in the Playoffs race.
Atlanta Falcons
Playoffs51%
Division40%
Conferenceseason odds5%
Super Bowlseason odds2%
Byeseason odds4%
Kansas City Chiefs
Playoffs80%
Division54%
Conferenceseason odds16%
Super Bowlseason odds8%
Byeseason odds21%
Atlanta winPlayoffsAtlanta Falcons51%64%▲ +13Kansas City Chiefs80%89%▲ +9
TiePlayoffsAtlanta Falcons51%55%▲ +4Kansas City Chiefs80%90%▲ +10
Kansas City winPlayoffsAtlanta Falcons51%44%▼ -7Kansas City Chiefs80%96%▲ +16
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1Kansas CityDivision54%4-0-01.000-2Las VegasDivision18%3-1-0.75013DenverDivision26%2-2-0.5002NFC South · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1CarolinaDivision38%2-2-0.500-2AtlantaDivision40%2-2-0.500-3New OrleansDivision15%1-3-0.2501The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
1Kansas CityPlayoffs80%4-0-01.0007New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.500The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
6RamsPlayoffs49%2-2-0.5007CarolinaPlayoffs47%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8AtlantaPlayoffs51%2-2-0.5009DetroitPlayoffs39%2-2-0.500