Magic Number.
NFL · 2026

Atlanta Falcons2nd NFC South - .500 pct vSun 27 Dec, 1:00 PM EST Tampa Bay Buccaneers4th NFC South - .000 pct

Match resultAtlanta 73%Tie <1%Tampa Bay 27%

What this game means

The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.

At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 4% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.

The result is worth up to 20 points in the Playoffs race.

Atlanta Falcons
Playoffs51%
Division40%
Conferenceseason odds5%
Super Bowlseason odds2%
Byeseason odds4%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Playoffs9%
Division7%
Atlanta winPlayoffsAtlanta Falcons51%59%▲ +8Tampa Bay Buccaneers9%<1%▼ -9
TiePlayoffsAtlanta Falcons51%50%▼ -1Tampa Bay Buccaneers9%<1%▼ -9
Tampa Bay winPlayoffsAtlanta Falcons51%39%▼ -12Tampa Bay Buccaneers9%1%▼ -8

The race they're in

Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.

NFC South · winner qualifies direct

DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1CarolinaDivision38%2-2-0.500-2AtlantaDivision40%2-2-0.500-4Tampa BayDivision7%0-4-0.0002

The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify

PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
7CarolinaPlayoffs47%2-2-0.500
Playoff line
8AtlantaPlayoffs51%2-2-0.50016Tampa BayPlayoffs9%0-4-0.000