NFL · 2026
Indianapolis Colts2nd AFC South - .500 pct vSun 8 Nov, 1:00 PM EST Dallas Cowboys3rd NFC East - .500 pct
Match resultIndianapolis 57%Tie <1%Dallas 43%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 10% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 20 points in the Playoffs race.
Indianapolis Colts
Playoffs40%
Division24%
Conferenceseason odds3%
Super Bowlseason odds1%
Byeseason odds2%
Dallas Cowboys
Playoffs37%
Division24%
Conferenceseason odds3%
Super Bowlseason odds1%
Byeseason odds2%
Indianapolis winPlayoffsIndianapolis Colts40%43%▲ +3Dallas Cowboys37%29%▼ -8
TiePlayoffsIndianapolis Colts40%33%▼ -7Dallas Cowboys37%33%▼ -4
Dallas winPlayoffsIndianapolis Colts40%24%▼ -16Dallas Cowboys37%49%▲ +12
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC South · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1JacksonvilleDivision68%3-1-0.750-2IndianapolisDivision24%2-2-0.50013*TennesseeDivision3%0-4-0.0003NFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1GiantsDivision34%3-1-0.750-2PhiladelphiaDivision33%2-2-0.50013DallasDivision24%2-2-0.5001The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
7New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.50010IndianapolisPlayoffs40%2-2-0.500The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
7CarolinaPlayoffs47%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8AtlantaPlayoffs51%2-2-0.50012DallasPlayoffs37%2-2-0.500