NFL · 2026
Buffalo BillsAFC East - .000 pct vSun 4 Oct, 1:00 PM EDT New England PatriotsAFC East - .000 pct
Match resultBuffalo 54%Tie <1%New England 46%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 14% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 28 points in the Division race.
Buffalo Bills
Playoffs63%
Division39%
Conferenceseason odds10%
Super Bowlseason odds5%
Byeseason odds10%
New England Patriots
Playoffs67%
Division44%
Conferenceseason odds14%
Super Bowlseason odds7%
Byeseason odds11%
Buffalo winDivisionBuffalo Bills39%53%▲ +14New England Patriots44%45%▲ +1
TieDivisionBuffalo Bills39%39%±0New England Patriots44%58%▲ +14
New England winDivisionBuffalo Bills39%25%▼ -14New England Patriots44%73%▲ +29
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
0-0-0New EnglandDivision44%0-0-0.000-0-0-0BuffaloDivision39%0-0-0.000-0-0-0MiamiDivision13%0-0-0.000-The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify