NFL · 2026

Buffalo Bills 26-29Final Sun 4 Oct, 1:00 PM EDT New England Patriots

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

If Buffalo had wonPlayoffsBuffalo Bills80%98%▲ +18New England Patriots44%24%▼ -20DivisionBuffalo Bills65%95%▲ +30New England Patriots22%4%▼ -18
If it had been a tiePlayoffsBuffalo Bills80%94%▲ +14New England Patriots44%38%▼ -6DivisionBuffalo Bills65%90%▲ +25New England Patriots22%9%▼ -13
What happenedNew England winPlayoffsBuffalo Bills80%92%▲ +12New England Patriots44%44%±0DivisionBuffalo Bills65%82%▲ +17New England Patriots22%17%▼ -5

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

Buffalo Bills
Playoffs80%80%±0
Division65%65%±0
New England Patriots
Playoffs44%44%±0
Division22%22%±0

Today: PlayoffsBuffalo 1st at 70%; New England 2nd at 64%.