Magic Number.
NFL · 2026

Carolina Panthers1st NFC South - .500 pct vSun 25 Oct, 1:00 PM EDT Tampa Bay Buccaneers4th NFC South - .000 pct

Match resultCarolina 71%Tie <1%Tampa Bay 29%

What this game means

The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.

At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 4% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.

The result is worth up to 16 points in the Division race.

Carolina Panthers
Playoffs47%
Division38%
Conferenceseason odds3%
Super Bowlseason odds1%
Byeseason odds3%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Playoffs9%
Division7%
Carolina winDivisionCarolina Panthers38%56%▲ +18Tampa Bay Buccaneers7%<1%▼ -7
TieDivisionCarolina Panthers38%41%▲ +3Tampa Bay Buccaneers7%1%▼ -6
Tampa Bay winDivisionCarolina Panthers38%39%▲ +1Tampa Bay Buccaneers7%1%▼ -6

The race they're in

Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.

NFC South · winner qualifies direct

DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1CarolinaDivision38%2-2-0.500-2AtlantaDivision40%2-2-0.500-4Tampa BayDivision7%0-4-0.0002

The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify

PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
7CarolinaPlayoffs47%2-2-0.500
Playoff line
8AtlantaPlayoffs51%2-2-0.50016Tampa BayPlayoffs9%0-4-0.000