Magic Number.
NFL · 2026

Tampa Bay Buccaneers4th NFC South - .000 pct vMon 30 Nov, 8:15 PM EST Carolina Panthers1st NFC South - .500 pct

Match resultTampa Bay 42%Tie <1%Carolina 58%

What this game means

The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.

At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.

The result is worth up to 20 points in the Playoffs race.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Playoffs9%
Division7%
Carolina Panthers
Playoffs47%
Division38%
Conferenceseason odds3%
Super Bowlseason odds1%
Byeseason odds3%
Tampa Bay winPlayoffsTampa Bay Buccaneers9%1%▼ -8Carolina Panthers47%42%▼ -5
TiePlayoffsTampa Bay Buccaneers9%<1%▼ -9Carolina Panthers47%45%▼ -2
Carolina winPlayoffsTampa Bay Buccaneers9%<1%▼ -9Carolina Panthers47%62%▲ +15

The race they're in

Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.

NFC South · winner qualifies direct

DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1CarolinaDivision38%2-2-0.500-2AtlantaDivision40%2-2-0.500-4Tampa BayDivision7%0-4-0.0002

The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify

PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
7CarolinaPlayoffs47%2-2-0.500
Playoff line
8AtlantaPlayoffs51%2-2-0.50016Tampa BayPlayoffs9%0-4-0.000