Magic Number.
NFL · 2026

Tampa Bay Buccaneers4th NFC South - .000 pct vSun 20 Dec, 1:00 PM EST New Orleans Saints3rd NFC South - .250 pct

Match resultTampa Bay 50%Tie <1%New Orleans 49%

What this game means

The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.

At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 2% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.

The result is worth up to 8 points in the Playoffs race.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Playoffs9%
Division7%
New Orleans Saints
Playoffs21%
Division15%
Tampa Bay winPlayoffsTampa Bay Buccaneers9%1%▼ -8New Orleans Saints21%6%▼ -15
TiePlayoffsTampa Bay Buccaneers9%<1%▼ -9New Orleans Saints21%12%▼ -9
New Orleans winPlayoffsTampa Bay Buccaneers9%<1%▼ -9New Orleans Saints21%14%▼ -7

The race they're in

Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.

NFC South · winner qualifies direct

DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1CarolinaDivision38%2-2-0.500-3New OrleansDivision15%1-3-0.25014Tampa BayDivision7%0-4-0.0002

The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify

PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
7CarolinaPlayoffs47%2-2-0.500
Playoff line
8AtlantaPlayoffs51%2-2-0.50014New OrleansPlayoffs21%1-3-0.25016Tampa BayPlayoffs9%0-4-0.000