NFL · 2026
Kansas City Chiefs1st AFC West - 1.000 pct vSun 10 Jan, 1:00 PM EST Las Vegas Raiders2nd AFC West - .750 pct
Match resultKansas City 68%Tie <1%Las Vegas 32%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 12% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 21 points in the Division race.
Kansas City Chiefs
Playoffs80%
Division54%
Conferenceseason odds16%
Super Bowlseason odds8%
Byeseason odds21%
Las Vegas Raiders
Playoffs46%
Division18%
Conferenceseason odds3%
Super Bowlseason odds1%
Byeseason odds4%
Kansas City winDivisionKansas City Chiefs54%76%▲ +22Las Vegas Raiders18%8%▼ -10
TieDivisionKansas City Chiefs54%59%▲ +5Las Vegas Raiders18%13%▼ -5
Las Vegas winDivisionKansas City Chiefs54%55%▲ +1Las Vegas Raiders18%21%▲ +3
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1Kansas CityDivision54%4-0-01.000-2Las VegasDivision18%3-1-0.75013DenverDivision26%2-2-0.5002The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
1Kansas CityPlayoffs80%4-0-01.0004Las VegasPlayoffs46%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.500