White Sox 84+ wins
Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v Wild Card Series winner
Win the next 29 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.
The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.
1st in the table · 9th by playoff odds.
Most likely 1st. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.
Most likely 2nd. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.
The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.
Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.
Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.
Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it
White Sox 84+ wins
Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v Wild Card Series winner
White Sox 81+ wins
Alongside it: 4 Tampa Bay v 5 Boston
71% of this route
29% of this route
A possible long-shot route: 1 of 20,000 simulations reached it.
White Sox 87+ wins
White Sox 81+ wins
Alongside it: 4 Boston v 5 Tampa Bay
White Sox under 83 wins