MLB · 2026

17th by playoff odds30 clubs

Cleveland

3rd · 61-66

Playoffs19%

Elimination number

The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.

32

Lose the next 32 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upTomorrow · Home1:10 PM EDTCleveland19%PlayoffsSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 58%SF 42%Win → 25% · Loss → 16%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Home19 AugSan Francisco1Cleveland▼ -6025% → 19%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division7%

Bye3%

Pennant2%

World Series<1%

3rd in the table · 17th by playoff odds.

AL Central finish

1st2nd3rd4th5th

1st · division winner

Most likely 3rd. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

American League finish

1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 9th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Tomorrow · Home1:10 PM EDTCleveland19%PlayoffsSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 58%SF 42%Win → 25% · Loss → 16%Playoffs

Upcoming

Friday · Away8:40 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 44%CLE 56%19% → 17% – 25%Playoffs Saturday · Away8:10 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 44%CLE 56%19% → 18% – 25%Playoffs Sunday · Away3:10 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 44%CLE 56%19% → 19% – 26%Playoffs

Full schedule35 to play

Tomorrow · Home1:10 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 58%SF 42%19% → 16% – 25%Playoffs Friday · Away8:40 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 44%CLE 56%19% → 17% – 25%Playoffs Saturday · Away8:10 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 44%CLE 56%19% → 18% – 25%Playoffs Sunday · Away3:10 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 44%CLE 56%19% → 19% – 26%Playoffs Monday · Away9:38 PM EDTAngels<1%PlayoffsMatch resultLAA 46%CLE 54%19% → 19% – 27%Playoffs Tuesday · Away9:38 PM EDTAngels<1%PlayoffsMatch resultLAA 46%CLE 54%19% → 19% – 27%Playoffs Wed 26 Aug · Away4:07 PM EDTAngels<1%PlayoffsMatch resultLAA 46%CLE 54%19% → 20% – 28%Playoffs Fri 28 Aug · Home7:10 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 57%KC 43%19% → 19% – 27%Playoffs Sat 29 Aug · Home4:10 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 57%KC 43%19% → 19% – 27%Playoffs Sun 30 Aug · Home1:40 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 57%KC 43%19% → 19% – 27%Playoffs Tue 1 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTToronto26%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 50%TOR 50%19% → 19% – 28%Playoffs Wed 2 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTToronto26%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 50%TOR 50%19% → 19% – 28%Playoffs Thu 3 Sep · Home1:10 PM EDTToronto26%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 50%TOR 50%19% → 18% – 29%Playoffs Fri 4 Sep · Home7:15 PM EDTDetroit14%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 53%DET 47%19% → 18% – 28%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Home6:10 PM EDTDetroit14%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 53%DET 47%19% → 18% – 28%Playoffs Sun 6 Sep · Home1:40 PM EDTDetroit14%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 53%DET 47%19% → 17% – 27%Playoffs Mon 7 Sep · Away1:35 PM EDTBaltimore9%PlayoffsMatch resultBAL 55%CLE 45%19% → 17% – 27%Playoffs Tue 8 Sep · Away6:35 PM EDTBaltimore9%PlayoffsMatch resultBAL 55%CLE 45%19% → 18% – 27%Playoffs Wed 9 Sep · Away6:35 PM EDTBaltimore9%PlayoffsMatch resultBAL 55%CLE 45%19% → 17% – 27%Playoffs Fri 11 Sep · Away8:10 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 53%CLE 47%19% → 16% – 26%Playoffs Sat 12 Sep · Away4:10 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 53%CLE 47%19% → 14% – 25%Playoffs Sun 13 Sep · Away2:10 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 53%CLE 47%19% → 13% – 23%Playoffs Mon 14 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTWhite Sox84%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 53%CWS 47%19% → 12% – 22%Playoffs Tue 15 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTWhite Sox84%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 53%CWS 47%19% → 12% – 21%Playoffs Wed 16 Sep · Home1:10 PM EDTWhite Sox84%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 53%CWS 47%19% → 13% – 21%Playoffs Fri 18 Sep · Home7:10 PM EDTAthletics<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 62%ATH 38%19% → 13% – 21%Playoffs Sat 19 Sep · Home6:10 PM EDTAthletics<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 62%ATH 38%19% → 13% – 22%Playoffs Sun 20 Sep · Home1:40 PM EDTAthletics<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 62%ATH 38%19% → 14% – 23%Playoffs Tue 22 Sep · Away6:45 PM EDTBoston97%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 61%CLE 39%19% → 16% – 25%Playoffs Wed 23 Sep · Away7:10 PM EDTBoston97%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 61%CLE 39%19% → 18% – 27%Playoffs Thu 24 Sep · Away6:45 PM EDTBoston97%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 61%CLE 39%19% → 17% – 26%Playoffs Fri 25 Sep · Away7:40 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 50%CLE 50%19% → 17% – 25%Playoffs Sat 26 Sep · Away7:10 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 50%CLE 50%19% → 16% – 23%Playoffs Sun 27 Sep · Away3:10 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 50%CLE 50%19% → 17% – 22%Playoffs Postponed · HomeDate TBDDetroit14%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 53%DET 47%19% → 18% – 27%Playoffs

History

Final · Home19 AugSan Francisco1Cleveland▼ -6025% → 19%Playoffs Final · Home18 AugSan Francisco1Cleveland▲ +3821% → 24%Playoffs Final · Home16 AugSan Diego5Cleveland▼ -1026% → 25%Playoffs

All results127 played

Final · Home19 AugSan Francisco1Cleveland▼ -6025% → 19%Playoffs Final · Home18 AugSan Francisco1Cleveland▲ +3821% → 24%Playoffs Final · Home16 AugSan Diego5Cleveland▼ -1026% → 25%Playoffs Final · Home15 AugSan Diego1Cleveland±0621% → 21%Playoffs Final · Home14 AugSan Diego7Cleveland±0528% → 28%Playoffs Final · Away13 AugDetroit3Cleveland▼ -6031% → 25%Playoffs Final · Away12 AugDetroit4Cleveland±0624% → 24%Playoffs Final · Away11 AugDetroit6Cleveland▲ +2428% → 30%Playoffs Final · Away9 AugWhite Sox5Cleveland▼ -1339% → 38%Playoffs Final · Away8 AugWhite Sox6Cleveland▲ +1345% → 46%Playoffs Final · Away7 AugWhite Sox2Cleveland▲ +1838% → 39%Playoffs Final · Home6 AugMets13Cleveland±0646% → 46%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugMets6Cleveland▲ +1550% → 51%Playoffs Final · Home4 AugMets6Cleveland▲ +1258% → 59%Playoffs Final · Home2 AugArizona0Cleveland▲ +1551% → 52%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugArizona12Cleveland▼ -2860% → 58%Playoffs Final · Home31 JulArizona4Cleveland▼ -1170% → 69%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulCincinnati1Cleveland▲ +1665% → 66%Playoffs Final · Away28 JulCincinnati2Cleveland±0072% → 72%Playoffs Final · Away28 JulCincinnati5Cleveland▲ +6666% → 72%Playoffs Final · Away26 JulTampa Bay1Cleveland▼ -4069% → 65%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulTampa Bay3Cleveland▲ +2076% → 78%Playoffs Final · Away24 JulTampa Bay11Cleveland±0378% → 78%Playoffs Final · Home23 JulMinnesota3Cleveland▼ -7185% → 78%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulMinnesota10Cleveland▼ -5690% → 85%Playoffs Final · Home21 JulMinnesota2Cleveland▲ +3586% → 89%Playoffs Final · Home20 JulMinnesota4Cleveland13 Final · Home19 JulPittsburgh7Cleveland1 Final · Home18 JulPittsburgh3Cleveland5 Final · Home18 JulPittsburgh7Cleveland1 Final · Away12 JulMiami2Cleveland5 Final · Away11 JulMiami1Cleveland4 Final · Away10 JulMiami2Cleveland3 Final · Away9 JulMinnesota2Cleveland5 Final · Away8 JulMinnesota6Cleveland5 Final · Away7 JulMinnesota3Cleveland1 Final · Home5 JulWhite Sox7Cleveland6 Final · Home4 JulWhite Sox3Cleveland1 Final · Home3 JulWhite Sox3Cleveland4 Final · Home2 JulWhite Sox5Cleveland6 Final · Home1 JulTexas4Cleveland9 Final · Home30 JunTexas4Cleveland2 Final · Home29 JunTexas6Cleveland3 Final · Home28 JunSeattle5Cleveland6 Final · Home27 JunSeattle3Cleveland4 Final · Home26 JunSeattle3Cleveland1 Final · Away24 JunWhite Sox3Cleveland4 Final · Away23 JunWhite Sox2Cleveland1 Final · Away22 JunWhite Sox6Cleveland5 Final · Away21 JunHouston2Cleveland1 Final · Away20 JunHouston1Cleveland8 Final · Away19 JunHouston9Cleveland3 Final · Away18 JunMilwaukee2Cleveland4 Final · Away17 JunMilwaukee9Cleveland4 Final · Away16 JunMilwaukee2Cleveland1 Final · Home13 JunDetroit1Cleveland3 Final · Home12 JunDetroit2Cleveland3 Final · Home10 JunYankees8Cleveland4 Final · Home9 JunYankees3Cleveland2 Final · Home8 JunYankees7Cleveland5 Final · Away7 JunTexas10Cleveland0 Final · Away6 JunTexas0Cleveland6 Final · Away5 JunTexas3Cleveland2 Final · Away4 JunYankees2Cleveland1 Final · Away3 JunYankees4Cleveland5 Final · Away2 JunYankees4Cleveland9 Final · Home31 MayBoston9Cleveland4 Final · Home30 MayBoston9Cleveland1 Final · Home29 MayBoston3Cleveland4 Final · Home27 MayWashington2Cleveland3 Final · Home26 MayWashington6Cleveland3 Final · Home25 MayWashington10Cleveland2 Final · Away24 MayPhiladelphia1Cleveland3 Final · Away23 MayPhiladelphia3Cleveland0 Final · Away22 MayPhiladelphia0Cleveland1 Final · Away21 MayDetroit1Cleveland3 Final · Away20 MayDetroit2Cleveland3 Final · Away19 MayDetroit3Cleveland4 Final · Away18 MayDetroit2Cleveland8 Final · Home17 MayCincinnati3Cleveland10 Final · Home16 MayCincinnati4Cleveland7 Final · Home15 MayCincinnati7Cleveland6 Final · Home13 MayAngels2Cleveland4 Final · Home12 MayAngels2Cleveland3 Final · Home11 MayAngels2Cleveland7 Final · Home10 MayMinnesota5Cleveland4 Final · Home9 MayMinnesota2Cleveland1 Final · Home8 MayMinnesota4Cleveland6 Final · Away7 MayKansas City5Cleveland8 Final · Away6 MayKansas City1Cleveland3 Final · Away5 MayKansas City5Cleveland3 Final · Away4 MayKansas City6Cleveland2 Final · Away3 MayAthletics7Cleveland1 Final · Away2 MayAthletics6Cleveland14 Final · Away1 MayAthletics5Cleveland8 Final · Home29 AprTampa Bay1Cleveland3 Final · Home28 AprTampa Bay1Cleveland0 Final · Home27 AprTampa Bay3Cleveland2 Final · Away26 AprToronto4Cleveland2 Final · Away25 AprToronto5Cleveland3 Final · Away24 AprToronto6Cleveland8 Final · Home22 AprHouston2Cleveland0 Final · Home21 AprHouston5Cleveland8 Final · Home20 AprHouston9Cleveland2 Final · Home19 AprBaltimore4Cleveland8 Final · Home18 AprBaltimore2Cleveland4 Final · Home17 AprBaltimore6Cleveland4 Final · Home16 AprBaltimore2Cleveland4 Final · Away15 AprSt. Louis5Cleveland3 Final · Away14 AprSt. Louis6Cleveland5 Final · Away13 AprSt. Louis3Cleveland9 Final · Away12 AprAtlanta13Cleveland1 Final · Away11 AprAtlanta0Cleveland6 Final · Away10 AprAtlanta11Cleveland5 Final · Home8 AprKansas City2Cleveland10 Final · Home7 AprKansas City1Cleveland2 Final · Home6 AprKansas City4Cleveland2 Final · Home5 AprCubs5Cleveland6 Final · Home5 AprCubs1Cleveland0 Final · Home3 AprCubs1Cleveland4 Final · Away1 AprDodgers1Cleveland4 Final · Away31 MarDodgers4Cleveland1 Final · Away30 MarDodgers2Cleveland4 Final · Away29 MarSeattle8Cleveland0 Final · Away28 MarSeattle5Cleveland6 Final · Away27 MarSeattle5Cleveland1 Final · Away26 MarSeattle4Cleveland6

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye3%

Cleveland 83+ wins

Division Series

2ClevelandHomeWild Card Series winner3 Houston or 6 White Sox

Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v Wild Card Series winner

How the table finishedthe middle season

The American League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 692. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Tampa Bay	96	66
2	Cleveland	85	77
3	Houston	84	78
4	Yankees	92	70
5	Boston	87	75
6	White Sox	82	80
-	Minnesota	79	83
-	Texas	78	84

Win the division, host the Wild Card Series3%

Cleveland 81+ wins

Wild Card Series

3ClevelandHome6Houston

Alongside it: 4 Tampa Bay v 5 Boston

How the table finishedthe middle season

The American League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 648. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Yankees	94	68
2	Seattle	84	78
3	Cleveland	83	79
4	Tampa Bay	92	70
5	Boston	87	75
6	Houston	82	80
-	White Sox	81	81
-	Detroit	79	83

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card Series<1%

A possible long-shot route: 2 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Cleveland 85+ wins

Wild Card berth, on the road12%

Cleveland 81+ wins

Wild Card Series

3HoustonHome6Cleveland

Alongside it: 4 Tampa Bay v 5 Boston

How the table finishedthe middle season

The American League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,425. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Yankees	96	66
2	White Sox	84	78
3	Houston	78	84
4	Tampa Bay	95	67
5	Boston	90	72
6	Cleveland	83	79
-	Detroit	81	81
-	Baltimore	80	82
-	Toronto	79	83
-	Minnesota	79	83

Miss the postseason81%

Cleveland under 83 wins

58% of this route
- below TorontoToronto under 85 wins (90%)
- below MinnesotaMinnesota under 85 wins (92%)
25% of this route
- above TorontoToronto 1+ game back (>99%)
17% of this route
- below TorontoToronto under 86 wins (93%)
- above MinnesotaMinnesota 1+ game back (>99%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The American League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 9,472. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Tampa Bay	99	63
2	White Sox	90	72
3	Seattle	83	79
4	Boston	89	73
5	Yankees	89	73
6	Minnesota	81	81
-	Toronto	81	81
-	Texas	79	83
-	Cleveland	77	85