NFL · 2026
Miami Dolphins4th AFC East - .000 pct vSun 1 Nov, 4:25 PM EST New England Patriots2nd AFC East - .500 pct
Match resultMiami 34%Tie <1%New England 65%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 21 points in the Playoffs race.
Miami Dolphins
Playoffs9%
Division5%
New England Patriots
Playoffs64%
Division42%
Conferenceseason odds11%
Super Bowlseason odds6%
Byeseason odds8%
Miami winPlayoffsMiami Dolphins9%1%▼ -8New England Patriots64%54%▼ -10
TiePlayoffsMiami Dolphins9%1%▼ -8New England Patriots64%70%▲ +6
New England winPlayoffsMiami Dolphins9%<1%▼ -9New England Patriots64%75%▲ +11
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50014MiamiDivision5%0-4-0.0003The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
7New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.50015MiamiPlayoffs9%0-4-0.000