NFL · 2026
New England Patriots2nd AFC East - .500 pct vSun 6 Dec, 4:25 PM EST Buffalo Bills1st AFC East - .750 pct
Match resultNew England 56%Tie <1%Buffalo 43%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 16% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 30 points in the Division race.
New England Patriots
Playoffs64%
Division42%
Conferenceseason odds11%
Super Bowlseason odds6%
Byeseason odds8%
Buffalo Bills
Playoffs70%
Division46%
Conferenceseason odds13%
Super Bowlseason odds7%
Byeseason odds12%
New England winDivisionNew England Patriots42%47%▲ +5Buffalo Bills46%52%▲ +6
TieDivisionNew England Patriots42%31%▼ -11Buffalo Bills46%67%▲ +21
Buffalo winDivisionNew England Patriots42%18%▼ -24Buffalo Bills46%81%▲ +35
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50013JetsDivision7%1-3-0.2502The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
3BuffaloPlayoffs70%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.500