NFL · 2026
Miami Dolphins4th AFC East - .000 pct vSun 3 Jan, 1:00 PM EST Buffalo Bills1st AFC East - .750 pct
Match resultMiami 34%Tie <1%Buffalo 66%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 18 points in the Division race.
Miami Dolphins
Playoffs9%
Division5%
Buffalo Bills
Playoffs70%
Division46%
Conferenceseason odds13%
Super Bowlseason odds7%
Byeseason odds12%
Miami winDivisionBuffalo Bills46%54%▲ +8
TieDivisionBuffalo Bills46%56%▲ +10
Buffalo winDivisionBuffalo Bills46%72%▲ +26
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50014MiamiDivision5%0-4-0.0003The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
3BuffaloPlayoffs70%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.50015MiamiPlayoffs9%0-4-0.000