NFL · 2026
Los Angeles Chargers4th AFC West - .000 pct vSun 3 Jan, 1:00 PM EST Kansas City Chiefs1st AFC West - 1.000 pct
Match resultChargers 39%Tie <1%Kansas City 60%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 16 points in the Division race.
Los Angeles Chargers
Playoffs11%
Division3%
Kansas City Chiefs
Playoffs80%
Division54%
Conferenceseason odds16%
Super Bowlseason odds8%
Byeseason odds21%
Chargers winDivisionKansas City Chiefs54%60%▲ +6
TieDivisionKansas City Chiefs54%61%▲ +7
Kansas City winDivisionKansas City Chiefs54%76%▲ +22
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1Kansas CityDivision54%4-0-01.000-2Las VegasDivision18%3-1-0.75014ChargersDivision3%0-4-0.0004The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
1Kansas CityPlayoffs80%4-0-01.0007New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.50016ChargersPlayoffs11%0-4-0.000