NFL · 2026
New England Patriots2nd AFC East - .500 pct vSun 10 Jan, 1:00 PM EST Miami Dolphins4th AFC East - .000 pct
Match resultNew England 77%Tie <1%Miami 23%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 25 points in the Playoffs race.
New England Patriots
Playoffs64%
Division42%
Conferenceseason odds11%
Super Bowlseason odds6%
Byeseason odds8%
Miami Dolphins
Playoffs9%
Division5%
New England winPlayoffsNew England Patriots64%66%▲ +2
TiePlayoffsNew England Patriots64%62%▼ -2
Miami winPlayoffsNew England Patriots64%41%▼ -23
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50014MiamiDivision5%0-4-0.0003The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
7New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.50015MiamiPlayoffs9%0-4-0.000