Magic Number.
USL Championship · 2026
10th by playoff odds25 clubs

San Antonio

3rd · 8-8-4 · 32 pts
Playoffs90%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
9

Win the next 9 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Home9:00 PM EDTSan Antonio90%PlayoffsOakland4%PlayoffsMatch resultSA 56%Draw 23%OAK 21%Win → 93% · Draw → 83% · Loss → 76%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Home15 AugEl Paso3San Antonio±0097% → 97%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference3%
Championship2%

3rd in the table · 10th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish
1st8th · playoff line12th

Most likely 5th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Home9:00 PM EDTSan Antonio90%PlayoffsOakland4%PlayoffsMatch resultSA 56%Draw 23%OAK 21%Win → 93% · Draw → 83% · Loss → 76%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Away9:30 PM EDTNew Mexico>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNM 54%Draw 24%SA 22%90% → 83% – 96%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home8:30 PM EDTTulsa87%PlayoffsMatch resultSA 42%Draw 26%TUL 32%90% → 80% – 95%PlayoffsFri 11 Sep · Away10:00 PM EDTColorado Springs77%PlayoffsMatch resultCOS 44%Draw 26%SA 30%90% → 80% – 95%Playoffs
Full schedule10 to play
Saturday · Home9:00 PM EDTOakland4%PlayoffsMatch resultSA 56%Draw 23%OAK 21%90% → 76% – 93%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Away9:30 PM EDTNew Mexico>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNM 54%Draw 24%SA 22%90% → 83% – 96%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home8:30 PM EDTTulsa87%PlayoffsMatch resultSA 42%Draw 26%TUL 32%90% → 80% – 95%PlayoffsFri 11 Sep · Away10:00 PM EDTColorado Springs77%PlayoffsMatch resultCOS 44%Draw 26%SA 30%90% → 80% – 95%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTSacramento95%PlayoffsMatch resultSAC 50%Draw 25%SA 25%90% → 83% – 95%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Home8:30 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSA 35%Draw 27%TBR 38%90% → 80% – 93%PlayoffsSat 3 Oct · Away10:30 PM EDTLas Vegas58%PlayoffsMatch resultLV 41%Draw 26%SA 33%90% → 79% – 95%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Away10:00 PM EDTOakland4%PlayoffsMatch resultOAK 35%Draw 27%SA 38%90% → 81% – 94%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Home8:30 PM EDTNew Mexico>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSA 36%Draw 27%NM 37%90% → 80% – 94%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home8:30 PM EDTOrange County99%PlayoffsMatch resultSA 41%Draw 26%OC 33%90% → 79% – 93%Playoffs

History

Final · Home15 AugEl Paso3San Antonio±0097% → 97%PlayoffsFinal · Away8 AugLouisville1San Antonio±0196% → 96%PlayoffsFinal · Home31 JulIndy1San Antonio▲ +4392% → 96%Playoffs
All results20 played
Final · Home15 AugEl Paso3San Antonio±0097% → 97%PlayoffsFinal · Away8 AugLouisville1San Antonio±0196% → 96%PlayoffsFinal · Home31 JulIndy1San Antonio▲ +4392% → 96%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulBrooklyn0San Antonio▼ -6188% → 82%PlayoffsFinal · Home18 JulLas Vegas2San Antonio▼ -8196% → 88%PlayoffsFinal · Home4 JulMonterey Bay0San Antonio0Final · Away24 JunColorado Springs1San Antonio2Final · Away13 JunLexington2San Antonio0Final · Away27 MayJacksonville4San Antonio4Final · Home23 MaySacramento1San Antonio2Final · Away9 MayPhoenix1San Antonio1Final · Home2 MayColorado Springs3San Antonio3Final · Away18 AprEl Paso2San Antonio3Final · Home11 AprMiami0San Antonio0Final · Away8 AprOrange County2San Antonio0Final · Away4 AprMonterey Bay0San Antonio0Final · Home29 MarLexington0San Antonio2Final · Home21 MarNew Mexico0San Antonio1Final · Away14 MarTulsa0San Antonio0Final · Home7 MarPhoenix1San Antonio2

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-092026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal37%

San Antonio 46+ points

Conference Quarterfinals
3San AntonioHome6Tulsa

Alongside it: 1 Orange County v 8 Las Vegas · 2 New Mexico v 7 El Paso · 4 Sacramento v 5 Colorado Springs

  1. 72% of this route

  2. 28% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 5,351. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Orange County59
2New Mexico53
3San Antonio50
4Sacramento45
5Colorado Springs44
6Tulsa44
7El Paso44
8Las Vegas44
-Lexington43
-Oakland33
Reach the quarterfinals on the road53%

San Antonio 40+ points

Conference Quarterfinals
1New MexicoHome8San Antonio

Alongside it: 2 Orange County v 7 Las Vegas · 3 Sacramento v 6 El Paso · 4 Tulsa v 5 Colorado Springs

  1. 52% of this route

  2. 31% of this route

  3. 16% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 5,477. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1New Mexico58
2Orange County53
3Sacramento49
4Tulsa47
5Colorado Springs47
6El Paso46
7Las Vegas46
8San Antonio43
-Lexington40
-Phoenix34
Miss the postseason10%