NFL · 2026
New England Patriots2nd AFC East - .500 pct vSun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM EDT Las Vegas Raiders2nd AFC West - .750 pct
Match resultNew England 69%Tie <1%Las Vegas 31%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 10% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 23 points in the Playoffs race.
New England Patriots
Playoffs64%
Division42%
Conferenceseason odds11%
Super Bowlseason odds6%
Byeseason odds8%
Las Vegas Raiders
Playoffs46%
Division18%
Conferenceseason odds3%
Super Bowlseason odds1%
Byeseason odds4%
New England winPlayoffsNew England Patriots64%76%▲ +12Las Vegas Raiders46%41%▼ -5
TiePlayoffsNew England Patriots64%69%▲ +5Las Vegas Raiders46%45%▼ -1
Las Vegas winPlayoffsNew England Patriots64%52%▼ -12Las Vegas Raiders46%62%▲ +16
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50013JetsDivision7%1-3-0.2502AFC West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1Kansas CityDivision54%4-0-01.000-2Las VegasDivision18%3-1-0.75013DenverDivision26%2-2-0.5002The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
4Las VegasPlayoffs46%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.500