NFL · 2026
Las Vegas Raiders2nd AFC West - .750 pct vSun 18 Oct, 4:25 PM EDT Buffalo Bills1st AFC East - .750 pct
Match resultLas Vegas 44%Tie <1%Buffalo 56%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 10% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 22 points in the Playoffs race.
Las Vegas Raiders
Playoffs46%
Division18%
Conferenceseason odds3%
Super Bowlseason odds1%
Byeseason odds4%
Buffalo Bills
Playoffs70%
Division46%
Conferenceseason odds13%
Super Bowlseason odds7%
Byeseason odds12%
Las Vegas winPlayoffsLas Vegas Raiders46%60%▲ +14Buffalo Bills70%78%▲ +8
TiePlayoffsLas Vegas Raiders46%41%▼ -5Buffalo Bills70%82%▲ +12
Buffalo winPlayoffsLas Vegas Raiders46%38%▼ -8Buffalo Bills70%92%▲ +22
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50013JetsDivision7%1-3-0.2502AFC West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1Kansas CityDivision54%4-0-01.000-2Las VegasDivision18%3-1-0.75013DenverDivision26%2-2-0.5002The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
3BuffaloPlayoffs70%3-1-0.7504Las VegasPlayoffs46%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.500