NFL · 2026
Jacksonville JaguarsAFC South - .000 pct vSun 18 Oct, 9:30 AM EDT Houston TexansAFC South - .000 pct
Match resultJacksonville 54%Tie <1%Houston 46%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 14% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 29 points in the Division race.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Playoffs70%
Division39%
Conferenceseason odds14%
Super Bowlseason odds8%
Byeseason odds14%
Houston Texans
Playoffs76%
Division47%
Conferenceseason odds19%
Super Bowlseason odds11%
Byeseason odds17%
Jacksonville winDivisionJacksonville Jaguars39%60%▲ +21Houston Texans47%37%▼ -10
TieDivisionJacksonville Jaguars39%45%▲ +6Houston Texans47%52%▲ +5
Houston winDivisionJacksonville Jaguars39%32%▼ -7Houston Texans47%66%▲ +19
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC South · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
0-0-0HoustonDivision47%0-0-0.000-0-0-0JacksonvilleDivision39%0-0-0.000-0-0-0IndianapolisDivision11%0-0-0.000-The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify