NFL · 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars1st AFC South - .750 pct vSun 18 Oct, 9:30 AM EDT Houston TexansAFC South - .000 pct
Match resultJacksonville 70%Tie <1%Houston 30%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 2% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 8 points in the Division race.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Playoffs81%
Division68%
Conferenceseason odds20%
Super Bowlseason odds11%
Byeseason odds19%
Houston Texans
Playoffs12%
Division6%
Jacksonville winDivisionJacksonville Jaguars68%94%▲ +26Houston Texans6%<1%▼ -6
TieDivisionJacksonville Jaguars68%87%▲ +19Houston Texans6%<1%▼ -6
Houston winDivisionJacksonville Jaguars68%86%▲ +18Houston Texans6%1%▼ -5
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC South · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1JacksonvilleDivision68%3-1-0.750-2IndianapolisDivision24%2-2-0.50014*HoustonDivision6%0-4-0.0003The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
2JacksonvillePlayoffs81%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.50014*HoustonPlayoffs12%0-4-0.000