NFL · 2026
Buffalo Bills1st AFC East - .750 pct vThu 26 Nov, 8:20 PM EST Kansas City Chiefs1st AFC West - 1.000 pct
Match resultBuffalo 58%Tie <1%Kansas City 41%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 8% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 16 points in the Division race.
Buffalo Bills
Playoffs70%
Division46%
Conferenceseason odds13%
Super Bowlseason odds7%
Byeseason odds12%
Kansas City Chiefs
Playoffs80%
Division54%
Conferenceseason odds16%
Super Bowlseason odds8%
Byeseason odds21%
Buffalo winDivisionBuffalo Bills46%69%▲ +23Kansas City Chiefs54%71%▲ +17
TieDivisionBuffalo Bills46%54%▲ +8Kansas City Chiefs54%71%▲ +17
Kansas City winDivisionBuffalo Bills46%53%▲ +7Kansas City Chiefs54%83%▲ +29
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50013JetsDivision7%1-3-0.2502AFC West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1Kansas CityDivision54%4-0-01.000-2Las VegasDivision18%3-1-0.75013DenverDivision26%2-2-0.5002The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
1Kansas CityPlayoffs80%4-0-01.0003BuffaloPlayoffs70%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.500