NFL · 2026

Houston TexansAFC South - .000 pct vSun 20 Dec, 1:00 PM EST Jacksonville JaguarsAFC South - .000 pct

Match resultHouston 60%Tie <1%Jacksonville 40%

What this game means

The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.

At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 16% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.

The result is worth up to 30 points in the Division race.

Houston Texans
Playoffs76%
Division47%
Conferenceseason odds19%
Super Bowlseason odds11%
Byeseason odds17%
Jacksonville Jaguars
Playoffs70%
Division39%
Conferenceseason odds14%
Super Bowlseason odds8%
Byeseason odds14%
Houston winDivisionHouston Texans47%64%▲ +17Jacksonville Jaguars39%32%▼ -7
TieDivisionHouston Texans47%51%▲ +4Jacksonville Jaguars39%46%▲ +7
Jacksonville winDivisionHouston Texans47%34%▼ -13Jacksonville Jaguars39%62%▲ +23

The race they're in

Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.

AFC South · winner qualifies direct

The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify