NFL · 2026
Kansas City Chiefs1st AFC West - 1.000 pct vMon 21 Dec, 8:15 PM EST New England Patriots2nd AFC East - .500 pct
Match resultKansas City 56%Tie <1%New England 43%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 10% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 20 points in the Playoffs race.
Kansas City Chiefs
Playoffs80%
Division54%
Conferenceseason odds16%
Super Bowlseason odds8%
Byeseason odds21%
New England Patriots
Playoffs64%
Division42%
Conferenceseason odds11%
Super Bowlseason odds6%
Byeseason odds8%
Kansas City winPlayoffsKansas City Chiefs80%97%▲ +17New England Patriots64%54%▼ -10
TiePlayoffsKansas City Chiefs80%91%▲ +11New England Patriots64%68%▲ +4
New England winPlayoffsKansas City Chiefs80%90%▲ +10New England Patriots64%74%▲ +10
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50013JetsDivision7%1-3-0.2502AFC West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1Kansas CityDivision54%4-0-01.000-2Las VegasDivision18%3-1-0.75013DenverDivision26%2-2-0.5002The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
1Kansas CityPlayoffs80%4-0-01.0007New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.500