NFL · 2026
Denver Broncos3rd AFC West - .500 pct vFri 25 Dec, 4:30 PM EST Buffalo Bills1st AFC East - .750 pct
Match resultDenver 56%Tie <1%Buffalo 44%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 12% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 23 points in the Playoffs race.
Denver Broncos
Playoffs58%
Division26%
Conferenceseason odds9%
Super Bowlseason odds5%
Byeseason odds7%
Buffalo Bills
Playoffs70%
Division46%
Conferenceseason odds13%
Super Bowlseason odds7%
Byeseason odds12%
Denver winPlayoffsDenver Broncos58%59%▲ +1Buffalo Bills70%80%▲ +10
TiePlayoffsDenver Broncos58%55%▼ -3Buffalo Bills70%84%▲ +14
Buffalo winPlayoffsDenver Broncos58%37%▼ -21Buffalo Bills70%92%▲ +22
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50013JetsDivision7%1-3-0.2502AFC West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1Kansas CityDivision54%4-0-01.000-2Las VegasDivision18%3-1-0.75013DenverDivision26%2-2-0.5002The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
3BuffaloPlayoffs70%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.500