NFL · 2026
Indianapolis Colts2nd AFC South - .500 pct vSun 10 Jan, 1:00 PM EST Jacksonville Jaguars1st AFC South - .750 pct
Match resultIndianapolis 42%Tie <1%Jacksonville 58%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 13% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 23 points in the Playoffs race.
Indianapolis Colts
Playoffs40%
Division24%
Conferenceseason odds3%
Super Bowlseason odds1%
Byeseason odds2%
Jacksonville Jaguars
Playoffs81%
Division68%
Conferenceseason odds20%
Super Bowlseason odds11%
Byeseason odds19%
Indianapolis winPlayoffsIndianapolis Colts40%52%▲ +12Jacksonville Jaguars81%93%▲ +12
TiePlayoffsIndianapolis Colts40%38%▼ -2Jacksonville Jaguars81%96%▲ +15
Jacksonville winPlayoffsIndianapolis Colts40%29%▼ -11Jacksonville Jaguars81%97%▲ +16
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC South · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1JacksonvilleDivision68%3-1-0.750-2IndianapolisDivision24%2-2-0.50013*TennesseeDivision3%0-4-0.0003The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
2JacksonvillePlayoffs81%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.50010IndianapolisPlayoffs40%2-2-0.500