Magic Number - FC Tulsa 2026

Playoffs>99%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

2

Win the next 2 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Saturday.

Next upTomorrow · Away7:30 PM EDTTulsa>99%PlayoffsLexington>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLEX 39%Draw 27%TUL 34%Win → 1% · Draw → <1% · Loss → <1%Conference

Last resultFinal · Home3 OctSacramento1Tulsa±0199% → 99%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference1%

Championship5%

5th in the table · 9th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish

1st8th · playoff line12th

Most likely 5th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

All results27 played

Final · Home3 OctSacramento1Tulsa±0199% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home30 SepNew Mexico0Tulsa▲ +4195% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away25 SepEl Paso1Tulsa▲ +1195% → 96%Playoffs Final · Away19 SepBrooklyn2Tulsa±0295% → 95%Playoffs Final · Away12 SepPhoenix2Tulsa▼ -4199% → 95%Playoffs Final · Away5 SepSan Antonio0Tulsa±0098% → 98%Playoffs Final · Home29 AugRhode Island0Tulsa▲ +2196% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away22 AugOrange County1Tulsa±0587% → 87%Playoffs Final · Away15 AugNew Mexico1Tulsa±0093% → 93%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugDetroit1Tulsa±0097% → 97%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugSacramento0Tulsa±0194% → 94%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulPittsburgh0Tulsa▲ +9184% → 93%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulLexington0Tulsa▼ -5091% → 86%Playoffs Final · Home18 JulEl Paso0Tulsa▲ +5182% → 87%Playoffs Final · Home20 JunColorado Springs2Tulsa1 Final · Home17 JunMonterey Bay0Tulsa2 Final · Away13 JunCharleston5Tulsa1 Final · Away30 MayLas Vegas0Tulsa0 Final · Home22 MayHartford0Tulsa2 Final · Away3 MayMonterey Bay1Tulsa2 Final · Away29 AprEl Paso1Tulsa4 Final · Away18 AprOakland1Tulsa1 Final · Home11 AprOrange County1Tulsa0 Final · Home28 MarPhoenix1Tulsa1 Final · Home21 MarLas Vegas2Tulsa3 Final · Home14 MarSan Antonio0Tulsa0 Final · Away7 MarSacramento2Tulsa0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal43%

Tulsa 46+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

3TulsaHome6Orange County

Alongside it: 1 El Paso v 8 San Antonio · 2 New Mexico v 7 Las Vegas · 4 Sacramento v 5 Lexington

43% of this route
- above LexingtonLexington 1+ point back (>99%)
- above SacramentoSacramento under 51 points (96%)
42% of this route
- above LexingtonLexington 1+ point back (>99%)
- below SacramentoSacramento under 54 points (>99%)
15% of this route
- below LexingtonLexington under 53 points (>99%)
- above SacramentoSacramento under 51 points (91%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 3,731. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	El Paso	51
2	New Mexico	49
3	Tulsa	49
4	Sacramento	48
5	Lexington	45
6	Orange County	45
7	Las Vegas	43
8	San Antonio	42
-	Colorado Springs	42
-	Oakland	37

Reach the quarterfinals on the road57%

Tulsa 43+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

4LexingtonHome5Tulsa

Alongside it: 1 New Mexico v 8 Orange County · 2 Sacramento v 7 Colorado Springs · 3 El Paso v 6 San Antonio

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 11,314. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	New Mexico	52
2	Sacramento	49
3	El Paso	49
4	Lexington	48
5	Tulsa	45
6	San Antonio	45
7	Colorado Springs	44
8	Orange County	43
-	Las Vegas	41
-	Oakland	35

Miss the postseason<1%

A possible long-shot route: 50 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Tulsa under 44 points

Tulsa

Chances

Schedule

Next up

Upcoming

History

Season so far

Paths