Magic Number - FC Tulsa 2026

Playoffs87%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

10

Win the next 10 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Away10:00 PM EDTTulsa87%PlayoffsOrange County99%PlayoffsMatch resultOC 46%Draw 26%TUL 28%Win → 94% · Draw → 84% · Loss → 81%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Away15 AugNew Mexico1Tulsa±0093% → 93%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference2%

Championship4%

6th in the table · 11th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish

1st8th · playoff line12th

Most likely 5th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Away10:00 PM EDTTulsa87%PlayoffsOrange County99%PlayoffsMatch resultOC 46%Draw 26%TUL 28%Win → 94% · Draw → 84% · Loss → 81%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Home8:30 PM EDTRhode Island94%PlayoffsMatch resultTUL 49%Draw 25%RI 26%87% → 78% – 91%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Away8:30 PM EDTSan Antonio90%PlayoffsMatch resultSA 42%Draw 26%TUL 32%87% → 78% – 93%Playoffs Sat 12 Sep · Away10:00 PM EDTPhoenix23%PlayoffsMatch resultPHX 38%Draw 27%TUL 35%87% → 79% – 94%Playoffs

Full schedule11 to play

Saturday · Away10:00 PM EDTOrange County99%PlayoffsMatch resultOC 46%Draw 26%TUL 28%87% → 81% – 94%Playoffs Sat 29 Aug · Home8:30 PM EDTRhode Island94%PlayoffsMatch resultTUL 49%Draw 25%RI 26%87% → 78% – 91%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Away8:30 PM EDTSan Antonio90%PlayoffsMatch resultSA 42%Draw 26%TUL 32%87% → 78% – 93%Playoffs Sat 12 Sep · Away10:00 PM EDTPhoenix23%PlayoffsMatch resultPHX 38%Draw 27%TUL 35%87% → 79% – 94%Playoffs Sat 19 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTBrooklyn5%PlayoffsMatch resultBKN 32%Draw 26%TUL 42%87% → 78% – 92%Playoffs Fri 25 Sep · Away9:00 PM EDTEl Paso86%PlayoffsMatch resultELP 41%Draw 26%TUL 33%87% → 80% – 94%Playoffs Wed 30 Sep · Home8:00 PM EDTNew Mexico>99%PlayoffsMatch resultTUL 40%Draw 26%NM 34%87% → 79% – 93%Playoffs Sat 3 Oct · Home8:00 PM EDTSacramento95%PlayoffsMatch resultTUL 44%Draw 26%SAC 30%87% → 79% – 93%Playoffs Fri 9 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTLexington81%PlayoffsMatch resultLEX 40%Draw 26%TUL 34%87% → 80% – 95%Playoffs Sat 17 Oct · Home8:00 PM EDTOakland4%PlayoffsMatch resultTUL 59%Draw 22%OAK 19%87% → 74% – 92%Playoffs Sat 24 Oct · Away8:00 PM EDTColorado Springs77%PlayoffsMatch resultCOS 41%Draw 26%TUL 33%87% → 82% – 95%Playoffs

History

Final · Away15 AugNew Mexico1Tulsa±0093% → 93%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugDetroit1Tulsa±0097% → 97%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugSacramento0Tulsa±0194% → 94%Playoffs

All results19 played

Final · Away15 AugNew Mexico1Tulsa±0093% → 93%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugDetroit1Tulsa±0097% → 97%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugSacramento0Tulsa±0194% → 94%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulPittsburgh0Tulsa▲ +9184% → 93%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulLexington0Tulsa▼ -5091% → 86%Playoffs Final · Home18 JulEl Paso0Tulsa▲ +5182% → 87%Playoffs Final · Home20 JunColorado Springs2Tulsa1 Final · Home17 JunMonterey Bay0Tulsa2 Final · Away13 JunCharleston5Tulsa1 Final · Away30 MayLas Vegas0Tulsa0 Final · Home22 MayHartford0Tulsa2 Final · Away3 MayMonterey Bay1Tulsa2 Final · Away29 AprEl Paso1Tulsa4 Final · Away18 AprOakland1Tulsa1 Final · Home11 AprOrange County1Tulsa0 Final · Home28 MarPhoenix1Tulsa1 Final · Home21 MarLas Vegas2Tulsa3 Final · Home14 MarSan Antonio0Tulsa0 Final · Away7 MarSacramento2Tulsa0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal34%

Tulsa 45+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

3TulsaHome6San Antonio

Alongside it: 1 New Mexico v 8 El Paso · 2 Orange County v 7 Colorado Springs · 4 Lexington v 5 Sacramento

73% of this route
- above SacramentoSacramento 1+ point back (95%)
27% of this route
- below SacramentoSacramento under 56 points (94%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 4,956. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	New Mexico	56
2	Orange County	54
3	Tulsa	50
4	Lexington	46
5	Sacramento	45
6	San Antonio	45
7	Colorado Springs	42
8	El Paso	41
-	Las Vegas	39
-	Phoenix	38

Reach the quarterfinals on the road53%

Tulsa 40+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

2New MexicoHome7Tulsa

Alongside it: 1 Orange County v 8 Las Vegas · 3 Lexington v 6 El Paso · 4 Sacramento v 5 San Antonio

55% of this route
- below SacramentoSacramento under 54 points (91%)
- below San AntonioSan Antonio under 53 points (93%)
28% of this route
- below SacramentoSacramento under 55 points (94%)
- above San AntonioSan Antonio under 46 points (96%)
17% of this route
- above SacramentoSacramento under 46 points (94%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 5,793. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Orange County	56
2	New Mexico	53
3	Lexington	51
4	Sacramento	49
5	San Antonio	48
6	El Paso	43
7	Tulsa	43
8	Las Vegas	41
-	Colorado Springs	38
-	Phoenix	31

Miss the postseason13%

Tulsa under 42 points

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,639. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	New Mexico	55
2	San Antonio	50
3	Sacramento	48
4	Orange County	47
5	El Paso	45
6	Colorado Springs	44
7	Las Vegas	42
8	Lexington	39
-	Phoenix	39
-	Tulsa	38