Chattanooga

7th · 14-4-12 · 46 pts

Playoffs>99%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

Win the next game and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Saturday.

Next upSat 17 Oct · Away9:00 PM EDTChattanooga>99%PlayoffsSpokaneClinchedPlayoffsMatch resultSPO 50%Draw 26%CHA 24%Win → >99% · Draw → >99% · Loss → >99%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Away7 OctKnoxville3Chattanooga±00>99% → >99%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

TitleOut

Championship3%

7th in the table · 6th by playoff odds.

Where they finish

1st8th · playoff line17th

Most likely 7th. The top 8 make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

All results30 played

Final · Away7 OctKnoxville3Chattanooga±00>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home3 OctCorpus Christi0Chattanooga▲ +4396% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home30 SepSpokane1Chattanooga±0098% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away26 SepNaples1Chattanooga▼ -10>99% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home19 SepPortland1Chattanooga±01>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home16 SepMadison0Chattanooga▲ +2198% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away12 SepRichmond1Chattanooga±0199% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home5 SepGreenville1Chattanooga▲ +5393% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away2 SepWestchester0Chattanooga▲ +7186% → 93%Playoffs Final · Home29 AugBoise3Chattanooga±0294% → 94%Playoffs Final · Home22 AugNY Cosmos3Chattanooga▼ -2395% → 93%Playoffs Final · Away19 AugSarasota3Chattanooga▼ -2297% → 95%Playoffs Final · Away15 AugFort Wayne1Chattanooga±0289% → 89%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugOmaha3Chattanooga±0193% → 93%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulMadison5Chattanooga▲ +1295% → 96%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulKnoxville0Chattanooga▲ +3191% → 94%Playoffs Final · Away18 JulCharlotte2Chattanooga▲ +7483% → 90%Playoffs Final · Home15 JulAlta0Chattanooga1 Final · Away4 JulCorpus Christi2Chattanooga1 Final · Home1 JulWestchester0Chattanooga2 Final · Home20 JunNaples0Chattanooga1 Final · Away13 JunPortland1Chattanooga2 Final · Home30 MayCharlotte3Chattanooga2 Final · Home27 MayRichmond0Chattanooga5 Final · Away23 MayOmaha2Chattanooga0 Final · Home9 MaySarasota1Chattanooga4 Final · Away2 MayBoise2Chattanooga1 Final · Home11 AprFort Wayne1Chattanooga0 Final · Away28 MarAlta2Chattanooga2 Final · Away14 MarGreenville1Chattanooga2

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a quarterfinal<1%

A possible long-shot route: 40 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Chattanooga 52+ points

Reach the quarterfinals on the road>99%

Chattanooga 46+ points

Quarterfinals

2CharlotteHome7Chattanooga

Alongside it: 1 Omaha v 8 Sarasota · 3 Madison v 6 Spokane · 4 Boise v 5 Knoxville

How the table finishedthe middle season

The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 19,960. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Omaha	67
2	Charlotte	67
3	Madison	61
4	Boise	56
5	Knoxville	55
6	Spokane	49
7	Chattanooga	48
8	Sarasota	43
-	Corpus Christi	43
-	Fort Wayne	42

Miss the postseasonNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Chattanooga

Chances

Schedule

Next up

Upcoming

History

Season so far

Paths