USL League One · 2026
8th by playoff odds17 clubs

Fort Wayne

8th · 11-9-9 · 42 pts
Playoffs86%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
2

Win the next 2 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Saturday.

Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.

Could be eliminated as soon as Sat 24 Oct.

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

TitleOut
Championship2%

8th in the table · 8th by playoff odds.

Where they finish
1st8th · playoff line17th

Most likely 8th. The top 8 make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

History

All results29 played
Final · Away7 OctCorpus Christi1Fort Wayne▲ +27359% → 86%PlayoffsFinal · Home3 OctMadison0Fort Wayne±0057% → 57%PlayoffsFinal · Away26 SepCharlotte1Fort Wayne▲ +2165% → 67%PlayoffsFinal · Home19 SepNaples2Fort Wayne▼ -8273% → 65%PlayoffsFinal · Home16 SepKnoxville3Fort Wayne▼ -9282% → 73%PlayoffsFinal · Away12 SepGreenville1Fort Wayne±0367% → 67%PlayoffsFinal · Home5 SepNY Cosmos4Fort Wayne▼ -11274% → 63%PlayoffsFinal · Home2 SepRichmond0Fort Wayne±0266% → 66%PlayoffsFinal · Away29 AugPortland1Fort Wayne±0448% → 48%PlayoffsFinal · Home15 AugChattanooga2Fort Wayne±0151% → 51%PlayoffsFinal · Away8 AugAlta3Fort Wayne▲ +3067% → 70%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugOmaha2Fort Wayne▼ -5076% → 71%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulSpokane3Fort Wayne▼ -2183% → 81%PlayoffsFinal · Home18 JulGreenville0Fort Wayne▲ +6377% → 83%PlayoffsFinal · Away15 JulKnoxville2Fort Wayne1Final · Home4 JulSpokane0Fort Wayne3Final · Away20 JunRichmond0Fort Wayne2Final · Away17 JunMadison1Fort Wayne1Final · Away10 JunWestchester1Fort Wayne1Final · Home30 MayAlta0Fort Wayne0Final · Away23 MayBoise1Fort Wayne3Final · Home20 MayCorpus Christi1Fort Wayne1Final · Home9 MayWestchester0Fort Wayne1Final · Home6 MayPortland0Fort Wayne3Final · Home2 MayCharlotte2Fort Wayne2Final · Away11 AprChattanooga0Fort Wayne1Final · Away28 MarNY Cosmos2Fort Wayne0Final · Away14 MarSarasota2Fort Wayne2Final · Away7 MarNaples2Fort Wayne0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 Game on 7 Oct: 59% to 87%2026-03-092026-10-08

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a quarterfinalNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Reach the quarterfinals on the road86%

Fort Wayne 44+ points

Quarterfinals
1OmahaHome8Fort Wayne

Alongside it: 2 Charlotte v 7 Spokane · 3 Knoxville v 6 Chattanooga · 4 Madison v 5 Boise

How the table finishedthe middle season
The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 17,239. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Omaha68
2Charlotte66
3Knoxville57
4Madison55
5Boise55
6Chattanooga50
7Spokane50
8Fort Wayne46
-Sarasota45
-Naples41
Miss the postseason14%

Fort Wayne under 47 points

  1. 50% of this route

  2. 50% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,385. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Omaha70
2Charlotte65
3Madison55
4Knoxville55
5Boise53
6Spokane51
7Chattanooga48
8Sarasota43
-Fort Wayne43
-Alta41
-Naples40