Magic Number - Spokane Velocity 2026

Playoffs91%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

10

Win the next 10 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Home9:30 PM EDTSpokane91%PlayoffsGreenville1%PlayoffsMatch resultSPO 55%Draw 24%GVL 21%Win → 92% · Draw → 85% · Loss → 79%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Home15 AugCorpus Christi3Spokane±0295% → 95%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Title<1%

Championship5%

6th in the table · 6th by playoff odds.

Where they finish

1st8th · playoff line17th

Most likely 6th. The top 8 make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Home9:30 PM EDTSpokane91%PlayoffsGreenville1%PlayoffsMatch resultSPO 55%Draw 24%GVL 21%Win → 92% · Draw → 85% · Loss → 79%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Away7:00 PM EDTWestchester2%PlayoffsMatch resultWSC 32%Draw 28%SPO 40%91% → 83% – 95%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTSarasota2%PlayoffsMatch resultSAR 35%Draw 28%SPO 37%91% → 84% – 95%Playoffs Wed 16 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTOmaha>99%PlayoffsMatch resultOMA 56%Draw 24%SPO 20%91% → 87% – 97%Playoffs

Full schedule13 to play

Saturday · Home9:30 PM EDTGreenville1%PlayoffsMatch resultSPO 55%Draw 24%GVL 21%91% → 79% – 92%Playoffs Sat 29 Aug · Away7:00 PM EDTWestchester2%PlayoffsMatch resultWSC 32%Draw 28%SPO 40%91% → 83% – 95%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTSarasota2%PlayoffsMatch resultSAR 35%Draw 28%SPO 37%91% → 84% – 95%Playoffs Wed 16 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTOmaha>99%PlayoffsMatch resultOMA 56%Draw 24%SPO 20%91% → 87% – 97%Playoffs Sun 20 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTBoise86%PlayoffsMatch resultSPO 46%Draw 27%BOI 27%91% → 83% – 95%Playoffs Sat 26 Sep · Away6:00 PM EDTMadison>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMAD 48%Draw 26%SPO 26%91% → 87% – 97%Playoffs Wed 30 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTChattanooga95%PlayoffsMatch resultCHA 45%Draw 27%SPO 28%91% → 86% – 97%Playoffs Sat 3 Oct · Home9:00 PM EDTPortland3%PlayoffsMatch resultSPO 52%Draw 25%PHP 23%91% → 83% – 95%Playoffs Sun 11 Oct · Away3:00 PM EDTKnoxville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultKNX 51%Draw 26%SPO 23%91% → 88% – 97%Playoffs Wed 14 Oct · Away7:00 PM EDTGreenville1%PlayoffsMatch resultGVL 34%Draw 28%SPO 38%91% → 85% – 96%Playoffs Sat 17 Oct · Home9:00 PM EDTChattanooga95%PlayoffsMatch resultSPO 43%Draw 27%CHA 30%91% → 85% – 96%Playoffs Sat 24 Oct · Away7:00 PM EDTNaples2%PlayoffsMatch resultNAP 34%Draw 28%SPO 38%91% → 88% – 97%Playoffs Postponed · AwayDate TBDNY Cosmos<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCOS 32%Draw 28%SPO 40%91% → 86% – 96%Playoffs

History

Final · Home15 AugCorpus Christi3Spokane±0295% → 95%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulFort Wayne1Spokane▲ +8371% → 79%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulCharlotte0Spokane▲ +1370% → 71%Playoffs

All results19 played

Final · Home15 AugCorpus Christi3Spokane±0295% → 95%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulFort Wayne1Spokane▲ +8371% → 79%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulCharlotte0Spokane▲ +1370% → 71%Playoffs Final · Away18 JulRichmond0Spokane▲ +4266% → 70%Playoffs Final · Away4 JulFort Wayne3Spokane0 Final · Home1 JulMadison1Spokane0 Final · Home24 JunWestchester1Spokane2 Final · Home20 JunKnoxville4Spokane0 Final · Away13 JunAlta1Spokane0 Final · Away30 MayPortland2Spokane1 Final · Home24 MaySarasota0Spokane1 Final · Home10 MayNaples1Spokane2 Final · Away2 MayCorpus Christi0Spokane0 Final · Home11 AprRichmond1Spokane3 Final · Home7 AprAlta1Spokane3 Final · Away4 AprBoise1Spokane1 Final · Away27 MarCharlotte4Spokane0 Final · Home21 MarNY Cosmos1Spokane3 Final · Home15 MarOmaha0Spokane1

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a quarterfinal17%

Spokane 52+ points

Quarterfinals

4SpokaneHome5Knoxville

Alongside it: 1 Omaha v 8 Alta · 2 Charlotte v 7 Fort Wayne · 3 Madison v 6 Chattanooga

76% of this route
- above KnoxvilleKnoxville under 58 points (95%)
24% of this route
- below KnoxvilleKnoxville under 64 points (91%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,650. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Omaha	69
2	Charlotte	63
3	Madison	57
4	Spokane	57
5	Knoxville	53
6	Chattanooga	50
7	Fort Wayne	49
8	Alta	48
-	Boise	46
-	Corpus Christi	43

Reach the quarterfinals on the road73%

Spokane 45+ points

Quarterfinals

2CharlotteHome7Spokane

Alongside it: 1 Omaha v 8 Corpus Christi · 3 Madison v 6 Fort Wayne · 4 Knoxville v 5 Chattanooga

How the table finishedthe middle season

The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 14,647. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Omaha	65
2	Charlotte	65
3	Madison	58
4	Knoxville	56
5	Chattanooga	55
6	Fort Wayne	51
7	Spokane	50
8	Corpus Christi	47
-	Boise	46
-	Alta	44

Miss the postseason9%

Spokane under 47 points

58% of this route
- below AltaAlta under 51 points (92%)
- below Fort WayneFort Wayne under 52 points (92%)
22% of this route
- above AltaAlta 1+ point back (>99%)
- below Fort WayneFort Wayne under 52 points (93%)
20% of this route
- below AltaAlta under 51 points (93%)
- above Fort WayneFort Wayne 1+ point back (>99%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,074. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Charlotte	68
2	Madison	62
3	Omaha	61
4	Knoxville	57
5	Chattanooga	55
6	Boise	51
7	Fort Wayne	46
8	Corpus Christi	46
-	Alta	46
-	Spokane	42