Magic Number - Forward Madison 2026

Playoffs>99%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

7

Win the next 7 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Home · Their biggest game left8:00 PM EDTMadison>99%PlayoffsCharlotte>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMAD 44%Draw 27%CLT 29%Win → 15% · Draw → 6% · Loss → 3%Title

Last resultFinal · Away16 AugPortland1Madison▲ +1299% → >99%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Title10%

Championship13%

3rd in the table · 3rd by playoff odds.

Where they finish

1st8th · playoff line17th

Most likely 3rd. The top 8 make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Home · Their biggest game left8:00 PM EDTMadison>99%PlayoffsCharlotte>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMAD 44%Draw 27%CLT 29%Win → 15% · Draw → 6% · Loss → 3%Title

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Away7:00 PM EDTRichmond<1%PlayoffsMatch resultRVA 26%Draw 26%MAD 48%10% → 4% – 13%Title Wed 2 Sep · Home8:00 PM EDTKnoxville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMAD 41%Draw 28%KNX 31%10% → 4% – 13%Title Sat 5 Sep · Away8:30 PM EDTCorpus Christi38%PlayoffsMatch resultCC 38%Draw 28%MAD 34%10% → 4% – 12%Title

Full schedule12 to play

Saturday · Home8:00 PM EDTCharlotte>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMAD 44%Draw 27%CLT 29%10% → 3% – 15%Title Sat 29 Aug · Away7:00 PM EDTRichmond<1%PlayoffsMatch resultRVA 26%Draw 26%MAD 48%10% → 4% – 13%Title Wed 2 Sep · Home8:00 PM EDTKnoxville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMAD 41%Draw 28%KNX 31%10% → 4% – 13%Title Sat 5 Sep · Away8:30 PM EDTCorpus Christi38%PlayoffsMatch resultCC 38%Draw 28%MAD 34%10% → 4% – 12%Title Sat 12 Sep · Home6:00 PM EDTSarasota2%PlayoffsMatch resultMAD 58%Draw 23%SAR 19%10% → 3% – 9%Title Wed 16 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTChattanooga95%PlayoffsMatch resultCHA 43%Draw 27%MAD 30%10% → 5% – 13%Title Sat 19 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTAlta40%PlayoffsMatch resultMAD 53%Draw 25%ALT 22%10% → 3% – 10%Title Sat 26 Sep · Home6:00 PM EDTSpokane91%PlayoffsMatch resultMAD 48%Draw 26%SPO 26%10% → 4% – 10%Title Sat 3 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTFort Wayne41%PlayoffsMatch resultFW 36%Draw 28%MAD 36%10% → 5% – 13%Title Sat 10 Oct · Away7:00 PM EDTWestchester2%PlayoffsMatch resultWSC 29%Draw 27%MAD 44%10% → 4% – 11%Title Sat 17 Oct · Home6:00 PM EDTPortland3%PlayoffsMatch resultMAD 55%Draw 24%PHP 21%10% → 3% – 10%Title Sat 24 Oct · Home7:00 PM EDTOmaha>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMAD 36%Draw 28%OMA 36%10% → 4% – 12%Title

History

Final · Away16 AugPortland1Madison▲ +1299% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home12 AugGreenville1Madison±0199% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away8 AugBoise2Madison±01>99% → >99%Playoffs

All results20 played

Final · Away16 AugPortland1Madison▲ +1299% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home12 AugGreenville1Madison±0199% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away8 AugBoise2Madison±01>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugWestchester0Madison▼ -1299% → 98%Playoffs Final · Home29 JulChattanooga2Madison▲ +1595% → 96%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulNaples1Madison▲ +2393% → 95%Playoffs Final · Home15 JulRichmond0Madison4 Final · Away1 JulSpokane0Madison1 Final · Home20 JunNY Cosmos1Madison3 Final · Home17 JunFort Wayne1Madison1 Final · Home13 JunBoise1Madison5 Final · Away3 JunGreenville1Madison0 Final · Home29 MayCorpus Christi0Madison3 Final · Away23 MayCharlotte3Madison1 Final · Away9 MayAlta2Madison0 Final · Away2 MaySarasota1Madison3 Final · Away19 AprNY Cosmos2Madison2 Final · Away11 AprOmaha1Madison0 Final · Away28 MarNaples0Madison1 Final · Away14 MarKnoxville1Madison2

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a quarterfinal82%

Quarterfinals

3MadisonHome6Corpus Christi

Alongside it: 1 Omaha v 8 Boise · 2 Spokane v 7 Chattanooga · 4 Charlotte v 5 Knoxville

77% of this route
- Madison 56+ points
- above KnoxvilleKnoxville 1+ point back (92%)
23% of this route
- Madison 53+ points
- below KnoxvilleKnoxville under 65 points (92%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 12,607. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Omaha	61
2	Spokane	61
3	Madison	60
4	Charlotte	57
5	Knoxville	54
6	Corpus Christi	52
7	Chattanooga	51
8	Boise	51
-	Alta	45
-	Sarasota	44

Reach the quarterfinals on the road18%

Madison 49+ points

Quarterfinals

3KnoxvilleHome6Madison

Alongside it: 1 Charlotte v 8 Alta · 2 Omaha v 7 Boise · 4 Chattanooga v 5 Spokane

69% of this route
- below ChattanoogaChattanooga under 61 points (92%)
31% of this route
- above ChattanoogaChattanooga 1+ point back (96%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,458. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Charlotte	71
2	Omaha	60
3	Knoxville	57
4	Chattanooga	56
5	Spokane	55
6	Madison	52
7	Boise	49
8	Alta	42
-	Fort Wayne	42
-	Westchester	41

Miss the postseason<1%

A possible long-shot route: 34 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Madison under 49 points