No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.
USL League One · 2026
9th by playoff odds17 clubs
Sarasota
12th · 9-6-13 · 33 ptsSarasota Paradise saved.Your home page now opens on it — its chances, how far it has moved, and its next game. Saved in this browser only.Continue with Google
Playoffs6%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Sat 24 Oct.
Elimination number
2
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
Lose the next 2 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.
Could be eliminated as soon as Sat 17 Oct.
Chances
The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.
12th in the table · 9th by playoff odds.
Where they finish
1st8th · playoff line17th
Most likely 10th. The top 8 make the playoffs.
Schedule
The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.
Upcoming
Sat 17 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTFort Wayne86%PlayoffsMatch resultFW 47%Draw 27%SAR 26%6% → 0% – 21%PlayoffsWed 21 Oct · Home6:30 PM EDTNaples6%PlayoffsMatch resultSAR 45%Draw 27%NAP 28%6% → <1% – 11%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTWestchester<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSAR 51%Draw 26%WSC 23%6% → <1% – 8%Playoffs
History
Final · Home3 OctCharlotte3Sarasota±0217% → 17%PlayoffsFinal · Away26 SepPortland1Sarasota±049% → 9%PlayoffsFinal · Home19 SepGreenville0Sarasota▲ +564% → 9%Playoffs
All results28 played
Final · Home3 OctCharlotte3Sarasota±0217% → 17%PlayoffsFinal · Away26 SepPortland1Sarasota±049% → 9%PlayoffsFinal · Home19 SepGreenville0Sarasota▲ +564% → 9%PlayoffsFinal · Away12 SepMadison1Sarasota±015% → 5%PlayoffsFinal · Home5 SepSpokane1Sarasota▲ +213% → 5%PlayoffsFinal · Away2 SepNY Cosmos1Sarasota±022% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Away22 AugOmaha1Sarasota±012% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Home19 AugChattanooga2Sarasota▲ +23<1% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Away15 AugCharlotte3Sarasota±011% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away8 AugKnoxville2Sarasota±012% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Away8 JulGreenville0Sarasota0Final · Away3 JulRichmond0Sarasota0Final · Away20 JunCorpus Christi4Sarasota1Final · Home13 JunOmaha0Sarasota2Final · Away10 JunAlta3Sarasota1Final · Home30 MayNY Cosmos1Sarasota2Final · Away27 MayBoise0Sarasota2Final · Away24 MaySpokane1Sarasota0Final · Home16 MayAlta2Sarasota1Final · Away9 MayChattanooga4Sarasota1Final · Home2 MayMadison3Sarasota1Final · Home22 AprCorpus Christi1Sarasota2Final · Away11 AprNaples2Sarasota0Final · Away8 AprWestchester2Sarasota0Final · Home4 AprKnoxville2Sarasota1Final · Home28 MarPortland0Sarasota1Final · Home14 MarFort Wayne2Sarasota2Final · Home7 MarBoise1Sarasota0
Season so far
Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.
Paths
Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.
Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it
Host a quarterfinalNo sampled route
Reach the quarterfinals on the road6%
Sarasota 43+ points
Quarterfinals
1OmahaHome8Sarasota
Alongside it: 2 Charlotte v 7 Chattanooga · 3 Madison v 6 Knoxville · 4 Spokane v 5 Boise
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | Pts |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omaha | 67 |
| 2 | Charlotte | 66 |
| 3 | Madison | 58 |
| 4 | Spokane | 55 |
| 5 | Boise | 54 |
| 6 | Knoxville | 52 |
| 7 | Chattanooga | 46 |
| 8 | Sarasota | 43 |
| - | Fort Wayne | 43 |
| - | Corpus Christi | 40 |
Miss the postseason94%
Sarasota under 43 points
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | Pts |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omaha | 66 |
| 2 | Charlotte | 64 |
| 3 | Madison | 56 |
| 4 | Boise | 56 |
| 5 | Knoxville | 55 |
| 6 | Spokane | 51 |
| 7 | Chattanooga | 47 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 43 |
| - | Naples | 41 |
| - | Sarasota | 39 |