Magic Number - Naples 2026

Playoffs6%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Sat 24 Oct.

Elimination number

The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.

2

Lose the next 2 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Could be eliminated as soon as Sat 17 Oct.

Next upSaturday · Away · Their biggest game left8:30 PM EDTNaples6%PlayoffsCorpus Christi2%PlayoffsMatch resultCC 44%Draw 27%NAP 29%Win → 16% · Draw → 2% · Loss → 1%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Home7 OctRichmond0Naples▼ -127% → 6%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

TitleOut

Championship<1%

9th in the table · 10th by playoff odds.

Where they finish

1st8th · playoff line17th

Most likely 9th. The top 8 make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

All results29 played

Final · Home7 OctRichmond0Naples▼ -127% → 6%Playoffs Final · Home3 OctNY Cosmos1Naples▲ +323% → 6%Playoffs Final · Home26 SepChattanooga0Naples▲ +212% → 4%Playoffs Final · Away19 SepFort Wayne2Naples±022% → 2%Playoffs Final · Away11 SepKnoxville0Naples±003% → 3%Playoffs Final · Home5 SepBoise2Naples▼ -204% → 2%Playoffs Final · Away29 AugGreenville4Naples±0014% → 14%Playoffs Final · Home26 AugOmaha0Naples±026% → 6%Playoffs Final · Away22 AugAlta1Naples▲ +422% → 6%Playoffs Final · Away15 AugWestchester3Naples±023% → 3%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugAlta1Naples±021% → 1%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulMadison3Naples▼ -112% → 1%Playoffs Final · Away8 JulNY Cosmos1Naples0 Final · Home3 JulPortland3Naples2 Final · Away20 JunChattanooga1Naples0 Final · Away13 JunCharlotte4Naples3 Final · Home3 JunCharlotte5Naples1 Final · Away30 MayOmaha2Naples1 Final · Home23 MayWestchester0Naples1 Final · Away13 MayBoise2Naples0 Final · Away10 MaySpokane2Naples1 Final · Home2 MayKnoxville3Naples0 Final · Away19 AprPortland1Naples1 Final · Home11 AprSarasota0Naples2 Final · Home4 AprGreenville0Naples1 Final · Home28 MarMadison1Naples0 Final · Away21 MarRichmond0Naples1 Final · Home14 MarCorpus Christi2Naples2 Final · Home7 MarFort Wayne0Naples2

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a quarterfinalNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Reach the quarterfinals on the road6%

Naples 43+ points

Quarterfinals

1OmahaHome8Naples

Alongside it: 2 Charlotte v 7 Chattanooga · 3 Boise v 6 Madison · 4 Knoxville v 5 Spokane

How the table finishedthe middle season

The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,184. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Omaha	68
2	Charlotte	66
3	Boise	56
4	Knoxville	55
5	Spokane	54
6	Madison	53
7	Chattanooga	47
8	Naples	44
-	Fort Wayne	43
-	Sarasota	43
-	Corpus Christi	39

Miss the postseason94%

Naples under 44 points

How the table finishedthe middle season

The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 18,816. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Charlotte	69
2	Omaha	65
3	Madison	56
4	Knoxville	55
5	Boise	52
6	Spokane	52
7	Fort Wayne	48
8	Chattanooga	47
-	Corpus Christi	41
-	Naples	40

Naples

Chances

Schedule

Next up

Upcoming

History

Season so far

Paths