USL League One · 2026
1st by playoff odds17 clubs

Omaha

1st · 14-2-5 · 44 pts
Playoffs>99%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
6

Win the next 6 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Sat 5 Sep.

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Title59%
Championship35%

1st in the table · 1st by playoff odds.

Where they finish
1st8th · playoff line17th

Most likely 1st. The top 8 make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Upcoming

Full schedule11 to play

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-092026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a quarterfinal99%

Omaha 59+ points

Quarterfinals
1OmahaHome8Alta

Alongside it: 2 Chattanooga v 7 Boise · 3 Knoxville v 6 Madison · 4 Charlotte v 5 Spokane

How the table finishedthe middle season
The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 19,763. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Omaha64
2Chattanooga60
3Knoxville60
4Charlotte54
5Spokane53
6Madison53
7Boise49
8Alta47
-Corpus Christi47
-Fort Wayne45
Reach the quarterfinals on the road1%

Omaha 51+ points

Quarterfinals
4SpokaneHome5Omaha

Alongside it: 1 Charlotte v 8 Boise · 2 Madison v 7 Fort Wayne · 3 Knoxville v 6 Chattanooga

How the table finishedthe middle season
The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 237. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Charlotte63
2Madison60
3Knoxville58
4Spokane57
5Omaha55
6Chattanooga52
7Fort Wayne51
8Boise49
-Corpus Christi42
-Alta39
Miss the postseasonNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.