MLB · 2026

6th by playoff odds30 clubs

Atlanta

1st · 74-53

Playoffs98%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

25

Win the next 25 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Sun 6 Sep.

Next upFriday · Away4:10 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 59%ATL 41%Win → 85% · Loss → 80%Division

Last resultFinal · Away19 AugMinnesota6Atlanta▼ -1499% → 98%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division79%

Bye20%

Pennant11%

World Series6%

1st in the table · 6th by playoff odds.

NL East finish

1st2nd3rd4th5th

1st · division winner

Most likely 1st. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

National League finish

1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 3rd. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Friday · Away4:10 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 59%ATL 41%Win → 85% · Loss → 80%Division

Upcoming

Saturday · Away2:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 59%ATL 41%79% → 79% – 85%Division Sunday · Away7:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 59%ATL 41%79% → 77% – 83%Division Tuesday · Home7:15 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 50%LAD 50%79% → 76% – 82%Division

Full schedule35 to play

Friday · Away4:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 59%ATL 41%79% → 80% – 85%Division Saturday · Away2:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 59%ATL 41%79% → 79% – 85%Division Sunday · Away7:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 59%ATL 41%79% → 77% – 83%Division Tuesday · Home7:15 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 50%LAD 50%79% → 76% – 82%Division Wed 26 Aug · Home7:15 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 50%LAD 50%79% → 78% – 84%Division Thu 27 Aug · Home7:15 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 50%LAD 50%79% → 78% – 84%Division Fri 28 Aug · Home7:15 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 68%COL 32%79% → 77% – 83%Division Sat 29 Aug · Home4:10 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 68%COL 32%79% → 76% – 82%Division Sun 30 Aug · Home1:35 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 68%COL 32%79% → 76% – 82%Division Tue 1 Sep · Away6:45 PM EDTWashington<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 45%ATL 55%79% → 78% – 84%Division Wed 2 Sep · Away1:05 PM EDTWashington<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 45%ATL 55%79% → 79% – 84%Division Fri 4 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 56%ATL 44%79% → 76% – 87%Division Sat 5 Sep · Away6:05 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 56%ATL 44%79% → 75% – 87%Division Sun 6 Sep · Away1:10 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 56%ATL 44%79% → 75% – 86%Division Mon 7 Sep · Away1:05 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 56%ATL 44%79% → 73% – 84%Division Tue 8 Sep · Home7:15 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 52%TB 48%79% → 74% – 81%Division Wed 9 Sep · Home7:15 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 52%TB 48%79% → 73% – 80%Division Thu 10 Sep · Home12:15 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 52%TB 48%79% → 73% – 79%Division Fri 11 Sep · Home7:15 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 51%PHI 49%79% → 68% – 81%Division Sat 12 Sep · Home7:15 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 51%PHI 49%79% → 70% – 83%Division Sun 13 Sep · Home1:35 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 51%PHI 49%79% → 72% – 84%Division Mon 14 Sep · Away7:40 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 56%ATL 44%79% → 76% – 81%Division Tue 15 Sep · Away7:40 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 56%ATL 44%79% → 75% – 81%Division Wed 16 Sep · Away7:40 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 56%ATL 44%79% → 76% – 82%Division Fri 18 Sep · Away8:10 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 51%ATL 49%79% → 75% – 81%Division Sat 19 Sep · Away7:10 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 51%ATL 49%79% → 75% – 81%Division Sun 20 Sep · Away2:10 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 51%ATL 49%79% → 76% – 81%Division Tue 22 Sep · Home7:15 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 59%CIN 41%79% → 75% – 81%Division Wed 23 Sep · Home7:15 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 59%CIN 41%79% → 75% – 82%Division Thu 24 Sep · Home7:15 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 59%CIN 41%79% → 76% – 83%Division Fri 25 Sep · Away7:10 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 49%ATL 51%79% → 79% – 86%Division Sat 26 Sep · Away4:10 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 49%ATL 51%79% → 80% – 86%Division Sun 27 Sep · Away3:10 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 49%ATL 51%79% → 79% – 88%Division Postponed · AwayDate TBDWhite Sox84%PlayoffsMatch resultCWS 49%ATL 51%79% → 78% – 86%Division Postponed · HomeDate TBDSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 64%SF 36%79% → 79% – 85%Division

History

Final · Away19 AugMinnesota6Atlanta▼ -1499% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away18 AugMinnesota4Atlanta±0199% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away17 AugMinnesota4Atlanta▼ -12>99% → 99%Playoffs

All results127 played

Final · Away19 AugMinnesota6Atlanta▼ -1499% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away18 AugMinnesota4Atlanta±0199% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away17 AugMinnesota4Atlanta▼ -12>99% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home16 AugArizona3Atlanta±0599% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home15 AugArizona10Atlanta±0399% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home14 AugArizona2Atlanta±00>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home12 AugMets3Atlanta±06>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home11 AugMets0Atlanta±0499% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home10 AugMets8Atlanta±05>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away9 AugYankees1Atlanta±02>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away8 AugYankees5Atlanta±04>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away7 AugYankees3Atlanta±02>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home6 AugMiami3Atlanta±011>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugMiami1Atlanta±0499% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home4 AugMiami2Atlanta±0499% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home2 AugWashington2Atlanta±0499% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugWashington3Atlanta±0899% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home31 JulWashington2Atlanta±0698% → 98%Playoffs Final · Home30 JulWashington4Atlanta▲ +1597% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulMets0Atlanta▼ -2197% → 95%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulMets3Atlanta±0297% → 97%Playoffs Final · Away27 JulMets14Atlanta±0398% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away26 JulBaltimore2Atlanta±0397% → 97%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulBaltimore3Atlanta▼ -1298% → 97%Playoffs Final · Away24 JulBaltimore6Atlanta±0796% → 96%Playoffs Final · Home23 JulSan Diego5Atlanta▲ +2694% → 96%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulSan Diego6Atlanta▲ +2792% → 94%Playoffs Final · Home21 JulSan Diego8Atlanta▼ -3394% → 91%Playoffs Final · Home20 JulSan Diego2Atlanta3 Final · Home19 JulTexas5Atlanta8 Final · Home18 JulTexas7Atlanta6 Final · Home17 JulTexas1Atlanta15 Final · Away12 JulSt. Louis3Atlanta4 Final · Away11 JulSt. Louis4Atlanta1 Final · Away10 JulSt. Louis2Atlanta1 Final · Away9 JulPittsburgh5Atlanta10 Final · Away8 JulPittsburgh0Atlanta3 Final · Away7 JulPittsburgh12Atlanta4 Final · Home6 JulMets7Atlanta6 Final · Home5 JulMets10Atlanta9 Final · Home4 JulMets3Atlanta14 Final · Home3 JulMets3Atlanta5 Final · Home2 JulSt. Louis11Atlanta5 Final · Home1 JulSt. Louis1Atlanta5 Final · Home30 JunSt. Louis5Atlanta3 Final · Away28 JunSan Francisco3Atlanta2 Final · Away27 JunSan Francisco5Atlanta0 Final · Away26 JunSan Francisco1Atlanta3 Final · Away24 JunSan Diego5Atlanta2 Final · Away23 JunSan Diego7Atlanta6 Final · Away22 JunSan Diego1Atlanta0 Final · Home21 JunMilwaukee9Atlanta4 Final · Home20 JunMilwaukee3Atlanta4 Final · Home19 JunMilwaukee2Atlanta3 Final · Home17 JunSan Francisco7Atlanta5 Final · Home17 JunSan Francisco7Atlanta2 Final · Away14 JunMets8Atlanta1 Final · Away13 JunMets1Atlanta3 Final · Away12 JunMets7Atlanta5 Final · Away10 JunWhite Sox2Atlanta1 Final · Away9 JunWhite Sox6Atlanta5 Final · Home7 JunPittsburgh2Atlanta3 Final · Home6 JunPittsburgh3Atlanta6 Final · Home5 JunPittsburgh3Atlanta6 Final · Home4 JunToronto7Atlanta2 Final · Home3 JunToronto3Atlanta7 Final · Home2 JunToronto3Atlanta4 Final · Away31 MayCincinnati6Atlanta4 Final · Away30 MayCincinnati2Atlanta5 Final · Away29 MayCincinnati3Atlanta8 Final · Away28 MayBoston2Atlanta10 Final · Away27 MayBoston8Atlanta0 Final · Away26 MayBoston6Atlanta7 Final · Home24 MayWashington2Atlanta1 Final · Home23 MayWashington2Atlanta0 Final · Home22 MayWashington4Atlanta5 Final · Away21 MayMiami3Atlanta9 Final · Away20 MayMiami1Atlanta9 Final · Away19 MayMiami4Atlanta8 Final · Away18 MayMiami12Atlanta0 Final · Home17 MayBoston1Atlanta8 Final · Home16 MayBoston3Atlanta2 Final · Home15 MayBoston2Atlanta3 Final · Home14 MayCubs2Atlanta0 Final · Home13 MayCubs1Atlanta4 Final · Home12 MayCubs2Atlanta5 Final · Away10 MayDodgers2Atlanta7 Final · Away9 MayDodgers2Atlanta7 Final · Away8 MayDodgers3Atlanta1 Final · Away6 MaySeattle3Atlanta1 Final · Away5 MaySeattle2Atlanta3 Final · Away4 MaySeattle5Atlanta4 Final · Away3 MayColorado6Atlanta11 Final · Away2 MayColorado1Atlanta9 Final · Away1 MayColorado6Atlanta8 Final · Home30 AprDetroit5Atlanta2 Final · Home29 AprDetroit3Atlanta4 Final · Home28 AprDetroit2Atlanta5 Final · Home26 AprPhiladelphia2Atlanta6 Final · Home25 AprPhiladelphia8Atlanta5 Final · Home24 AprPhiladelphia3Atlanta5 Final · Away23 AprWashington2Atlanta7 Final · Away22 AprWashington6Atlanta8 Final · Away21 AprWashington11Atlanta4 Final · Away20 AprWashington4Atlanta9 Final · Away19 AprPhiladelphia2Atlanta4 Final · Away18 AprPhiladelphia1Atlanta3 Final · Away17 AprPhiladelphia0Atlanta9 Final · Home15 AprMiami3Atlanta6 Final · Home14 AprMiami5Atlanta6 Final · Home13 AprMiami10Atlanta4 Final · Home12 AprCleveland1Atlanta13 Final · Home11 AprCleveland6Atlanta0 Final · Home10 AprCleveland5Atlanta11 Final · Away8 AprAngels2Atlanta8 Final · Away7 AprAngels2Atlanta7 Final · Away6 AprAngels6Atlanta2 Final · Away5 AprArizona6Atlanta5 Final · Away4 AprArizona2Atlanta1 Final · Away3 AprArizona0Atlanta2 Final · Away2 AprArizona2Atlanta17 Final · Home1 AprAthletics1Atlanta5 Final · Home31 MarAthletics5Atlanta2 Final · Home30 MarAthletics0Atlanta4 Final · Home29 MarKansas City4Atlanta1 Final · Home28 MarKansas City2Atlanta6 Final · Home27 MarKansas City0Atlanta6

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye20%

Atlanta 92+ wins

Division Series

2AtlantaHomeWild Card Series winner3 Dodgers or 6 St. Louis

Alongside it: 1 Milwaukee v Wild Card Series winner

56% of this route
- above DodgersDodgers under 97 wins (96%)
- below MilwaukeeMilwaukee under 103 wins (92%)
27% of this route
- above DodgersDodgers under 98 wins (93%)
- above MilwaukeeMilwaukee under 99 wins (97%)
17% of this route
- below DodgersDodgers under 102 wins (92%)
- above MilwaukeeMilwaukee under 97 wins (93%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,235. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	99	63
2	Atlanta	95	67
3	Dodgers	93	69
4	Miami	90	72
5	Philadelphia	89	73
6	St. Louis	87	75
-	San Diego	87	75
-	Cubs	86	76

Win the division, host the Wild Card Series59%

Atlanta 89+ wins

Wild Card Series

3AtlantaHome6San Diego

Alongside it: 4 Cubs v 5 Philadelphia

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 11,804. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	97	65
2	Dodgers	97	65
3	Atlanta	92	70
4	Cubs	92	70
5	Philadelphia	88	74
6	San Diego	87	75
-	Washington	83	79
-	Arizona	81	81

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card Series3%

Atlanta 89+ wins

Wild Card Series

4AtlantaHome5Cubs

Alongside it: 3 Philadelphia v 6 San Diego

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 633. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	98	64
2	Dodgers	93	69
3	Philadelphia	93	69
4	Atlanta	91	71
5	Cubs	89	73
6	San Diego	88	74
-	Arizona	85	77
-	Pittsburgh	82	80

Wild Card berth, on the road16%

Atlanta 87+ wins

Wild Card Series

4CubsHome5Atlanta

Alongside it: 3 Philadelphia v 6 Arizona

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 3,115. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	103	59
2	Dodgers	99	63
3	Philadelphia	92	70
4	Cubs	93	69
5	Atlanta	89	73
6	Arizona	88	74
-	San Diego	85	77
-	Pittsburgh	81	81

Miss the postseason2%

Atlanta under 89 wins

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 461. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Cubs	97	65
2	Dodgers	95	67
3	Philadelphia	87	75
4	Milwaukee	93	69
5	San Diego	88	74
6	Arizona	87	75
-	Atlanta	86	76
-	St. Louis	83	79