NFL · 2026
New England Patriots2nd AFC East - .500 pct vSun 3 Jan, 1:00 PM EST Denver Broncos3rd AFC West - .500 pct
Match resultNew England 57%Tie <1%Denver 42%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 15% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 24 points in the Playoffs race.
New England Patriots
Playoffs64%
Division42%
Conferenceseason odds11%
Super Bowlseason odds6%
Byeseason odds8%
Denver Broncos
Playoffs58%
Division26%
Conferenceseason odds9%
Super Bowlseason odds5%
Byeseason odds7%
New England winPlayoffsNew England Patriots64%73%▲ +9Denver Broncos58%45%▼ -13
TiePlayoffsNew England Patriots64%67%▲ +3Denver Broncos58%64%▲ +6
Denver winPlayoffsNew England Patriots64%48%▼ -16Denver Broncos58%67%▲ +9
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50013JetsDivision7%1-3-0.2502AFC West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1Kansas CityDivision54%4-0-01.000-2Las VegasDivision18%3-1-0.75013DenverDivision26%2-2-0.5002The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
6BaltimorePlayoffs61%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.5009PittsburghPlayoffs46%2-2-0.500