NFL · 2026
New England PatriotsAFC East - .000 pct vSun 3 Jan, 1:00 PM EST Denver BroncosAFC West - .000 pct
Match resultNew England 50%Tie <1%Denver 49%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 9% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 17 points in the Division race.
New England Patriots
Playoffs67%
Division44%
Conferenceseason odds14%
Super Bowlseason odds7%
Byeseason odds11%
Denver Broncos
Playoffs79%
Division58%
Conferenceseason odds24%
Super Bowlseason odds14%
Byeseason odds19%
New England winDivisionNew England Patriots44%67%▲ +23Denver Broncos58%74%▲ +16
TieDivisionNew England Patriots44%51%▲ +7Denver Broncos58%85%▲ +27
Denver winDivisionNew England Patriots44%50%▲ +6Denver Broncos58%86%▲ +28
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
0-0-0New EnglandDivision44%0-0-0.000-0-0-0BuffaloDivision39%0-0-0.000-0-0-0MiamiDivision13%0-0-0.000-AFC West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
0-0-0DenverDivision58%0-0-0.000-0-0-0ChargersDivision30%0-0-0.000-0-0-0Kansas CityDivision9%0-0-0.000-The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify