Magic Number - Boise 2026

Playoffs86%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

9

Win the next 9 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Away7:30 PM EDTBoise86%PlayoffsKnoxville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultKNX 53%Draw 25%BOI 22%Win → 96% · Draw → 90% · Loss → 86%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Home8 AugMadison1Boise±0268% → 68%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Title<1%

Championship3%

5th in the table · 7th by playoff odds.

Where they finish

1st8th · playoff line17th

Most likely 7th. The top 8 make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Away7:30 PM EDTBoise86%PlayoffsKnoxville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultKNX 53%Draw 25%BOI 22%Win → 96% · Draw → 90% · Loss → 86%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Away7:00 PM EDTChattanooga95%PlayoffsMatch resultCHA 47%Draw 27%BOI 26%86% → 84% – 96%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTNaples2%PlayoffsMatch resultNAP 36%Draw 28%BOI 36%86% → 84% – 96%Playoffs Fri 11 Sep · Home9:00 PM EDTNY Cosmos<1%PlayoffsMatch resultBOI 56%Draw 24%COS 20%86% → 81% – 95%Playoffs

Full schedule11 to play

History

Final · Home8 AugMadison1Boise±0268% → 68%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugCorpus Christi0Boise±0069% → 69%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulGreenville3Boise▼ -12274% → 62%Playoffs

All results21 played

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a quarterfinal9%

Boise 53+ points

Quarterfinals

4BoiseHome5Omaha

Alongside it: 1 Charlotte v 8 Corpus Christi · 2 Spokane v 7 Chattanooga · 3 Madison v 6 Knoxville

74% of this route
- above KnoxvilleKnoxville under 57 points (93%)
26% of this route
- below KnoxvilleKnoxville under 64 points (92%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,365. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Charlotte	64
2	Spokane	57
3	Madison	56
4	Boise	56
5	Omaha	56
6	Knoxville	52
7	Chattanooga	50
8	Corpus Christi	47
-	Fort Wayne	42
-	Westchester	41

Reach the quarterfinals on the road77%

Boise 45+ points

Quarterfinals

2OmahaHome7Boise

Alongside it: 1 Madison v 8 Fort Wayne · 3 Knoxville v 6 Spokane · 4 Charlotte v 5 Chattanooga

How the table finishedthe middle season

The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 15,348. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Madison	63
2	Omaha	59
3	Knoxville	59
4	Charlotte	58
5	Chattanooga	52
6	Spokane	50
7	Boise	49
8	Fort Wayne	44
-	Sarasota	43
-	Alta	43
-	Corpus Christi	43

Miss the postseason14%

Boise under 47 points

61% of this route
- below AltaAlta under 51 points (91%)
- below Fort WayneFort Wayne under 52 points (92%)
21% of this route
- above AltaAlta 1+ point back (>99%)
- below Fort WayneFort Wayne under 52 points (94%)
18% of this route
- below AltaAlta under 51 points (90%)
- above Fort WayneFort Wayne 1+ point back (>99%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,731. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Madison	60
2	Charlotte	57
3	Chattanooga	55
4	Knoxville	55
5	Omaha	54
6	Corpus Christi	52
7	Spokane	47
8	Fort Wayne	47
-	Alta	46
-	Boise	43