Magic Number.
USL League One · 2026
8th by playoff odds17 clubs

Fort Wayne

10th · 7-6-7 · 27 pts
Playoffs41%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
11

Win the next 11 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
11

Lose the next 11 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSat 29 Aug · Away7:00 PM EDTFort Wayne41%PlayoffsPortland3%PlayoffsMatch resultPHP 42%Draw 27%FW 31%Win → 55% · Draw → 37% · Loss → 31%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Home15 AugChattanooga2Fort Wayne±0151% → 51%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Title<1%
Championship1%

10th in the table · 8th by playoff odds.

Where they finish
1st8th · playoff line17th

Most likely 9th. The top 8 make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Sat 29 Aug · Away7:00 PM EDTFort Wayne41%PlayoffsPortland3%PlayoffsMatch resultPHP 42%Draw 27%FW 31%Win → 55% · Draw → 37% · Loss → 31%Playoffs

Upcoming

Wed 2 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTRichmond<1%PlayoffsMatch resultFW 56%Draw 24%RVA 20%41% → 26% – 48%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTNY Cosmos<1%PlayoffsMatch resultFW 53%Draw 25%COS 22%41% → 25% – 47%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTGreenville1%PlayoffsMatch resultGVL 38%Draw 28%FW 34%41% → 25% – 48%Playoffs
Full schedule12 to play
Sat 29 Aug · Away7:00 PM EDTPortland3%PlayoffsMatch resultPHP 42%Draw 27%FW 31%41% → 31% – 55%PlayoffsWed 2 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTRichmond<1%PlayoffsMatch resultFW 56%Draw 24%RVA 20%41% → 26% – 48%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTNY Cosmos<1%PlayoffsMatch resultFW 53%Draw 25%COS 22%41% → 25% – 47%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTGreenville1%PlayoffsMatch resultGVL 38%Draw 28%FW 34%41% → 25% – 48%PlayoffsWed 16 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTKnoxville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultFW 34%Draw 28%KNX 38%41% → 28% – 52%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTNaples2%PlayoffsMatch resultFW 50%Draw 26%NAP 24%41% → 27% – 51%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Away2:00 PM EDTCharlotte>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCLT 53%Draw 25%FW 22%41% → 35% – 59%PlayoffsSat 3 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTMadison>99%PlayoffsMatch resultFW 36%Draw 28%MAD 36%41% → 30% – 54%PlayoffsWed 7 Oct · Away8:30 PM EDTCorpus Christi38%PlayoffsMatch resultCC 46%Draw 27%FW 27%41% → 28% – 62%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Away5:00 PM EDTOmaha>99%PlayoffsMatch resultOMA 61%Draw 22%FW 17%41% → 36% – 61%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTSarasota2%PlayoffsMatch resultFW 49%Draw 26%SAR 25%41% → 29% – 53%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTBoise86%PlayoffsMatch resultFW 41%Draw 28%BOI 31%41% → 25% – 57%Playoffs

History

Final · Home15 AugChattanooga2Fort Wayne±0151% → 51%PlayoffsFinal · Away8 AugAlta3Fort Wayne▲ +3067% → 70%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugOmaha2Fort Wayne▼ -5076% → 71%Playoffs
All results20 played
Final · Home15 AugChattanooga2Fort Wayne±0151% → 51%PlayoffsFinal · Away8 AugAlta3Fort Wayne▲ +3067% → 70%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugOmaha2Fort Wayne▼ -5076% → 71%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulSpokane3Fort Wayne▼ -2183% → 81%PlayoffsFinal · Home18 JulGreenville0Fort Wayne▲ +6377% → 83%PlayoffsFinal · Away15 JulKnoxville2Fort Wayne1Final · Home4 JulSpokane0Fort Wayne3Final · Away20 JunRichmond0Fort Wayne2Final · Away17 JunMadison1Fort Wayne1Final · Away10 JunWestchester1Fort Wayne1Final · Home30 MayAlta0Fort Wayne0Final · Away23 MayBoise1Fort Wayne3Final · Home20 MayCorpus Christi1Fort Wayne1Final · Home9 MayWestchester0Fort Wayne1Final · Home6 MayPortland0Fort Wayne3Final · Home2 MayCharlotte2Fort Wayne2Final · Away11 AprChattanooga0Fort Wayne1Final · Away28 MarNY Cosmos2Fort Wayne0Final · Away14 MarSarasota2Fort Wayne2Final · Away7 MarNaples2Fort Wayne0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-092026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a quarterfinal1%

A possible long-shot route: 157 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Fort Wayne 52+ points

Quarterfinals
4Fort WayneHome5Chattanooga

Alongside it: 1 Omaha v 8 Boise · 2 Charlotte v 7 Spokane · 3 Madison v 6 Knoxville

How the table finishedthe middle season
The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 157. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Omaha66
2Charlotte61
3Madison59
4Fort Wayne54
5Chattanooga50
6Knoxville50
7Spokane48
8Boise48
-Alta47
-Corpus Christi44
Reach the quarterfinals on the road40%

Fort Wayne 44+ points

Quarterfinals
2MadisonHome7Fort Wayne

Alongside it: 1 Omaha v 8 Spokane · 3 Knoxville v 6 Chattanooga · 4 Charlotte v 5 Boise

How the table finishedthe middle season
The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 8,091. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Omaha68
2Madison62
3Knoxville56
4Charlotte56
5Boise50
6Chattanooga49
7Fort Wayne47
8Spokane45
-Alta43
-Corpus Christi43
Miss the postseason59%

Fort Wayne under 47 points

  1. 63% of this route

  2. 19% of this route

  3. 18% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 7,398. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Omaha62
2Charlotte58
3Madison57
4Spokane54
5Knoxville54
6Boise53
7Chattanooga50
8Corpus Christi45
-Alta45
-Fort Wayne40