Magic Number - FC Dallas 2026

Playoffs93%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

14

Win the next 14 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Happening nowIn progressAwayStarted 9:30 PM EDTDallasSalt Lake

Last resultFinal · Away16 AugAustin1Dallas±0281% → 81%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference2%

Supporters' Shield<1%

MLS Cup3%

5th in the table · 10th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish

1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 4th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The game in progress, what follows it, and what already happened.

Happening now

In progressAwayStarted 9:30 PM EDTDallasSalt Lake

Upcoming

Saturday · Away9:30 PM EDTVancouver>99%PlayoffsMatch resultVAN 54%Draw 24%DAL 22%93% → 89% – 96%Playoffs Sun 30 Aug · Away7:00 PM EDTSt. Louis74%PlayoffsMatch resultSTL 40%Draw 27%DAL 33%93% → 85% – 96%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Home8:30 PM EDTSporting KC<1%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 65%Draw 20%SKC 15%93% → 83% – 93%Playoffs

Full schedule15 to play

History

Final · Away16 AugAustin1Dallas±0281% → 81%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugLA Galaxy0Dallas±0085% → 85%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulSan Diego1Dallas▼ -6093% → 87%Playoffs

All results19 played

Final · Away16 AugAustin1Dallas±0281% → 81%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugLA Galaxy0Dallas±0085% → 85%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulSan Diego1Dallas▼ -6093% → 87%Playoffs Final · Away22 JulPortland2Dallas▲ +1291% → 92%Playoffs Final · Away23 MayColorado1Dallas2 Final · Away16 MaySan Jose2Dallas3 Final · Home13 MayVancouver3Dallas2 Final · Home9 MaySalt Lake1Dallas3 Final · Away2 MayNY Red Bulls0Dallas2 Final · Away25 AprSeattle2Dallas1 Final · Home22 AprMinnesota1Dallas0 Final · Home18 AprLA Galaxy2Dallas2 Final · Home11 AprSt. Louis1Dallas1 Final · Away4 AprDC0Dallas4 Final · Home21 MarHouston3Dallas4 Final · Home14 MarSan Diego3Dallas3 Final · Away7 MarLAFC1Dallas0 Final · Home28 FebNashville0Dallas0 Final · Home21 FebToronto2Dallas3

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home42%

Dallas 53+ points

Round One

3DallasHome6Salt Lake

Alongside it: 1 Vancouver v Wild Card winner · 2 LAFC v 7 San Jose · 4 St. Louis v 5 Houston

88% of this route
- above San JoseSan Jose 2+ points back (92%)
12% of this route
- below San JoseSan Jose under 63 points (90%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 7,358. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	69
2	LAFC	62
3	Dallas	57
4	St. Louis	56
5	Houston	55
6	Salt Lake	50
7	San Jose	50
8	Minnesota	50
9	Portland	48
-	San Diego	48
-	LA Galaxy	41

Reach Round One directly, on the road38%

Dallas 49+ points

Round One

3HoustonHome6Dallas

Alongside it: 1 Vancouver v Wild Card winner · 2 LAFC v 7 Colorado · 4 Salt Lake v 5 San Diego

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 7,593. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	60
2	LAFC	58
3	Houston	57
4	Salt Lake	55
5	San Diego	52
6	Dallas	52
7	Colorado	51
8	St. Louis	51
9	Portland	49
-	San Jose	46
-	Seattle	43

Host the Wild Card game8%

Dallas 46+ points

Wild Card

8DallasHome9Minnesota

65% of this route
- below Salt LakeSalt Lake under 59 points (92%)
- below San JoseSan Jose under 60 points (91%)
22% of this route
- above Salt LakeSalt Lake 1+ point back (92%)
- below San JoseSan Jose under 61 points (93%)
13% of this route
- below Salt LakeSalt Lake under 60 points (93%)
- above San JoseSan Jose 1+ point back (96%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 988. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	63
2	LAFC	58
3	San Jose	54
4	Salt Lake	53
5	Houston	53
6	Portland	49
7	St. Louis	49
8	Dallas	48
9	Minnesota	48
-	San Diego	45
-	Austin	42

Play the Wild Card game away5%

Dallas 45+ points

Wild Card

8SeattleHome9Dallas

75% of this route
- below St. LouisSt. Louis under 58 points (92%)
25% of this route
- above St. LouisSt. Louis out of the postseason (>99%) · St. Louis under 48 points (96%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 796. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	77
2	Houston	56
3	San Jose	53
4	LAFC	53
5	St. Louis	52
6	Salt Lake	51
7	San Diego	48
8	Seattle	47
9	Dallas	47
-	Portland	42
-	Colorado	41

Miss the postseason7%

Dallas under 48 points

85% of this route
- below SeattleSeattle under 56 points (92%)
15% of this route
- above SeattleSeattle 1+ point back (>99%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,242. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	66
2	LAFC	60
3	San Diego	56
4	Houston	54
5	Salt Lake	53
6	San Jose	53
7	Seattle	50
8	St. Louis	50
9	Colorado	47
-	Minnesota	46
-	Dallas	44