Magic Number.
MLS · 2026
30th by playoff odds30 clubs

Sporting KC

15th · 4-3-13 · 15 pts
Playoffs<1%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
11

Lose the next 11 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSunday · Away7:00 PM EDTSporting KC<1%PlayoffsAtlanta6%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 50%Draw 25%SKC 25%Win → <1% · Draw → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Home19 AugSt. Louis1Sporting KC±01<1% → <1%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup<1%

15th in the table · 30th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish
1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 15th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Sunday · Away7:00 PM EDTSporting KC<1%PlayoffsAtlanta6%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 50%Draw 25%SKC 25%Win → <1% · Draw → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Home8:30 PM EDTVancouver>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 20%Draw 23%VAN 57%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away8:30 PM EDTDallas93%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 65%Draw 20%SKC 15%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Home8:30 PM EDTLAFC99%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 22%Draw 24%LAFC 54%<1% → <1% – <1%Playoffs
Full schedule14 to play
Sunday · Away7:00 PM EDTAtlanta6%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 50%Draw 25%SKC 25%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Home8:30 PM EDTVancouver>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 20%Draw 23%VAN 57%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away8:30 PM EDTDallas93%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 65%Draw 20%SKC 15%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Home8:30 PM EDTLAFC99%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 22%Draw 24%LAFC 54%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Home8:30 PM EDTPhiladelphia36%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 29%Draw 26%PHI 45%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Away8:30 PM EDTHouston99%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 66%Draw 19%SKC 15%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsThu 1 Oct · Away9:30 PM EDTSeattle64%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 63%Draw 21%SKC 16%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Home8:30 PM EDTPortland49%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 30%Draw 26%POR 44%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsWed 14 Oct · Away8:30 PM EDTNashville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNSH 73%Draw 16%SKC 11%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Home8:30 PM EDTSalt Lake85%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 28%Draw 26%RSL 46%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home8:30 PM EDTAustin1%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 37%Draw 27%ATX 36%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 28 Oct · Away8:30 PM EDTMinnesota43%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 63%Draw 21%SKC 16%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 31 Oct · Home3:00 PM EDTDallas93%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 26%Draw 25%DAL 49%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 7 Nov · Away7:00 PM ESTSan Diego56%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 65%Draw 20%SKC 15%<1% → 0% – 0%Playoffs

History

Final · Home19 AugSt. Louis1Sporting KC±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away15 AugColorado2Sporting KC±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugHouston2Sporting KC▼ -101% → <1%Playoffs
All results20 played
Final · Home19 AugSt. Louis1Sporting KC±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away15 AugColorado2Sporting KC±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugHouston2Sporting KC▼ -101% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulLAFC4Sporting KC±001% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Home22 JulMinnesota1Sporting KC▲ +12<1% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away16 JulSt. Louis3Sporting KC2Final · Home23 MayNY Red Bulls2Sporting KC1Final · Away16 MayAustin1Sporting KC2Final · Home13 MayLA Galaxy1Sporting KC3Final · Away9 MayPortland6Sporting KC0Final · Home2 MaySeattle1Sporting KC1Final · Away25 AprChicago5Sporting KC0Final · Away17 AprVancouver3Sporting KC0Final · Home11 AprSan Jose3Sporting KC1Final · Away4 AprSalt Lake3Sporting KC1Final · Home21 MarColorado4Sporting KC1Final · Away14 MarLA Galaxy1Sporting KC2Final · Home7 MarSan Diego1Sporting KC0Final · Home28 FebColumbus2Sporting KC2Final · Away21 FebSan Jose3Sporting KC0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-02-232026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at homeNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Reach Round One directly, on the roadNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Host the Wild Card gameNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Play the Wild Card game away<1%

A possible long-shot route: 5 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Sporting KC 41+ points

Miss the postseason>99%