Magic Number.
MLS · 2026
30th by playoff odds30 clubs

Sporting KC

15th · 6-3-18 · 21 pts
Playoffs<1%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
3

Lose the next 3 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Could be eliminated as soon as Wednesday.

Next upSaturday · Home8:30 PM EDTSporting KC<1%PlayoffsPortland24%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 33%Draw 27%POR 40%Win → <1% · Draw → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Away1 OctSeattle2Sporting KC±01<1% → <1%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

ConferenceOut
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%

15th in the table · 30th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish
1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 15th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Home8:30 PM EDTSporting KC<1%PlayoffsPortland24%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 33%Draw 27%POR 40%Win → <1% · Draw → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs

Upcoming

Wednesday · Away8:30 PM EDTNashvilleClinchedPlayoffsMatch resultNSH 75%Draw 15%SKC 10%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Home8:30 PM EDTSalt Lake19%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 35%Draw 27%RSL 38%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home8:30 PM EDTAustin15%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 32%Draw 27%ATX 41%<1% → 0% – 0%Playoffs
Full schedule7 to play
Saturday · Home8:30 PM EDTPortland24%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 33%Draw 27%POR 40%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWednesday · Away8:30 PM EDTNashvilleClinchedPlayoffsMatch resultNSH 75%Draw 15%SKC 10%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Home8:30 PM EDTSalt Lake19%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 35%Draw 27%RSL 38%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home8:30 PM EDTAustin15%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 32%Draw 27%ATX 41%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 28 Oct · Away8:30 PM EDTMinnesota6%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 57%Draw 23%SKC 20%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 31 Oct · Home3:00 PM EDTDallas>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 23%Draw 24%DAL 53%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 7 Nov · Away7:00 PM ESTSan Diego28%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 62%Draw 21%SKC 17%<1% → 0% – 0%Playoffs

History

Final · Away1 OctSeattle2Sporting KC±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away26 SepHouston0Sporting KC±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home19 SepPhiladelphia4Sporting KC±03<1% → <1%Playoffs
All results27 played
Final · Away1 OctSeattle2Sporting KC±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away26 SepHouston0Sporting KC±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home19 SepPhiladelphia4Sporting KC±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home12 SepLAFC1Sporting KC±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away5 SepDallas4Sporting KC±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home29 AugVancouver3Sporting KC±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away23 AugAtlanta2Sporting KC±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home19 AugSt. Louis1Sporting KC±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away15 AugColorado2Sporting KC±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugHouston2Sporting KC▼ -101% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulLAFC4Sporting KC±001% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Home22 JulMinnesota1Sporting KC▲ +12<1% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away16 JulSt. Louis3Sporting KC2Final · Home23 MayNY Red Bulls2Sporting KC1Final · Away16 MayAustin1Sporting KC2Final · Home13 MayLA Galaxy1Sporting KC3Final · Away9 MayPortland6Sporting KC0Final · Home2 MaySeattle1Sporting KC1Final · Away25 AprChicago5Sporting KC0Final · Away17 AprVancouver3Sporting KC0Final · Home11 AprSan Jose3Sporting KC1Final · Away4 AprSalt Lake3Sporting KC1Final · Home21 MarColorado4Sporting KC1Final · Away14 MarLA Galaxy1Sporting KC2Final · Home7 MarSan Diego1Sporting KC0Final · Home28 FebColumbus2Sporting KC2Final · Away21 FebSan Jose3Sporting KC0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-02-232026-10-07

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at homeNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Reach Round One directly, on the roadNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Host the Wild Card gameNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Play the Wild Card game awayNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Miss the postseason>99%