NFL · 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers3rd AFC North - .500 pct vSun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM EDT Indianapolis Colts2nd AFC South - .500 pct
Match resultPittsburgh 62%Tie <1%Indianapolis 38%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 11% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 23 points in the Playoffs race.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Playoffs46%
Division19%
Conferenceseason odds5%
Super Bowlseason odds2%
Byeseason odds4%
Indianapolis Colts
Playoffs40%
Division24%
Conferenceseason odds3%
Super Bowlseason odds1%
Byeseason odds2%
Pittsburgh winPlayoffsPittsburgh Steelers46%58%▲ +12Indianapolis Colts40%24%▼ -16
TiePlayoffsPittsburgh Steelers46%48%▲ +2Indianapolis Colts40%36%▼ -4
Indianapolis winPlayoffsPittsburgh Steelers46%35%▼ -11Indianapolis Colts40%47%▲ +7
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC North · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1ClevelandDivision34%3-1-0.750-2BaltimoreDivision32%3-1-0.750-3PittsburghDivision19%2-2-0.5001AFC South · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1JacksonvilleDivision68%3-1-0.750-2IndianapolisDivision24%2-2-0.50013*TennesseeDivision3%0-4-0.0003The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
7New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.5009PittsburghPlayoffs46%2-2-0.50010IndianapolisPlayoffs40%2-2-0.500