NFL · 2026
Washington Commanders4th NFC East - .250 pct vSun 13 Dec, 1:00 PM EST Houston TexansAFC South - .000 pct
Match resultWashington 56%Tie <1%Houston 44%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 2% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 5 points in the Playoffs race.
Washington Commanders
Playoffs18%
Division9%
Houston Texans
Playoffs12%
Division6%
Washington winPlayoffsWashington Commanders18%8%▼ -10Houston Texans12%1%▼ -11
TiePlayoffsWashington Commanders18%7%▼ -11Houston Texans12%3%▼ -9
Houston winPlayoffsWashington Commanders18%2%▼ -16Houston Texans12%3%▼ -9
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC South · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1JacksonvilleDivision68%3-1-0.750-2IndianapolisDivision24%2-2-0.50014*HoustonDivision6%0-4-0.0003NFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1GiantsDivision34%3-1-0.750-2PhiladelphiaDivision33%2-2-0.50014WashingtonDivision9%1-3-0.2502The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
7New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.50014*HoustonPlayoffs12%0-4-0.000The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
7CarolinaPlayoffs47%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8AtlantaPlayoffs51%2-2-0.50013WashingtonPlayoffs18%1-3-0.250