NFL · 2026
Jacksonville JaguarsAFC South - .000 pct vSun 3 Jan, 1:00 PM EST Washington CommandersNFC East - .000 pct
Match resultJacksonville 83%Tie <1%Washington 17%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 13 points in the Playoffs race.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Playoffs70%
Division39%
Conferenceseason odds14%
Super Bowlseason odds8%
Byeseason odds14%
Washington Commanders
Playoffs25%
Division15%
Byeseason odds2%
Jacksonville winPlayoffsJacksonville Jaguars70%89%▲ +19Washington Commanders25%9%▼ -16
TiePlayoffsJacksonville Jaguars70%83%▲ +13Washington Commanders25%10%▼ -15
Washington winPlayoffsJacksonville Jaguars70%77%▲ +7Washington Commanders25%21%▼ -4
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC South · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
0-0-0HoustonDivision47%0-0-0.000-0-0-0JacksonvilleDivision39%0-0-0.000-0-0-0IndianapolisDivision11%0-0-0.000-NFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
0-0-0PhiladelphiaDivision53%0-0-0.000-0-0-0DallasDivision21%0-0-0.000-0-0-0WashingtonDivision15%0-0-0.000-The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
0-0-0DenverPlayoffs79%0-0-0.0000-0-0HoustonPlayoffs76%0-0-0.0000-0-0JacksonvillePlayoffs70%0-0-0.000The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify