Magic Number.
USL Championship · 2026
13th by playoff odds25 clubs

Indy

7th · 7-4-7 · 25 pts
Playoffs85%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
9

Win the next 9 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Home7:00 PM EDTIndy85%PlayoffsLouisville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 29%Draw 26%LOU 45%Win → 95% · Draw → 89% · Loss → 87%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Away15 AugJacksonville0Indy±0171% → 71%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%
Championship1%

7th in the table · 13th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish
1st8th · playoff line13th

Most likely 7th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Home7:00 PM EDTIndy85%PlayoffsLouisville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 29%Draw 26%LOU 45%Win → 95% · Draw → 89% · Loss → 87%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Away10:30 PM EDTPhoenix23%PlayoffsMatch resultPHX 45%Draw 26%IND 29%85% → 87% – 96%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTBirmingham10%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 52%Draw 24%BHM 24%85% → 80% – 95%PlayoffsFri 11 Sep · Away9:30 PM EDTNew Mexico>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNM 59%Draw 22%IND 19%85% → 87% – 96%Playoffs
Full schedule12 to play
Saturday · Home7:00 PM EDTLouisville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 29%Draw 26%LOU 45%85% → 87% – 95%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Away10:30 PM EDTPhoenix23%PlayoffsMatch resultPHX 45%Draw 26%IND 29%85% → 87% – 96%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTBirmingham10%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 52%Draw 24%BHM 24%85% → 80% – 95%PlayoffsFri 11 Sep · Away9:30 PM EDTNew Mexico>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNM 59%Draw 22%IND 19%85% → 87% – 96%PlayoffsTue 15 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTBrooklyn5%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 52%Draw 24%BKN 24%85% → 82% – 95%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Home5:00 PM EDTOakland4%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 51%Draw 25%OAK 24%85% → 81% – 93%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTMiami10%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 54%Draw 24%MFC 22%85% → 80% – 93%PlayoffsWed 30 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTRhode Island94%PlayoffsMatch resultRI 49%Draw 25%IND 26%85% → 86% – 96%PlayoffsSat 3 Oct · Away6:00 PM EDTLoudoun15%PlayoffsMatch resultLDN 42%Draw 26%IND 32%85% → 81% – 96%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Home7:00 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 31%Draw 26%TBR 43%85% → 85% – 95%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Away7:00 PM EDTLouisville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLOU 62%Draw 21%IND 17%85% → 85% – 95%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Away6:00 PM EDTCharleston>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHS 59%Draw 22%IND 19%85% → 85% – 96%Playoffs

History

Final · Away15 AugJacksonville0Indy±0171% → 71%PlayoffsFinal · Home9 AugHartford1Indy±0174% → 74%PlayoffsFinal · Away31 JulSan Antonio3Indy▼ -7178% → 71%Playoffs
All results18 played
Final · Away15 AugJacksonville0Indy±0171% → 71%PlayoffsFinal · Home9 AugHartford1Indy±0174% → 74%PlayoffsFinal · Away31 JulSan Antonio3Indy▼ -7178% → 71%PlayoffsFinal · Home25 JulLoudoun1Indy▼ -9086% → 77%PlayoffsFinal · Away18 JulDetroit2Indy▼ -8086% → 78%PlayoffsFinal · Away15 JulMiami2Indy0Final · Home4 JulCharleston0Indy2Final · Away13 JunPittsburgh1Indy0Final · Home30 MayRhode Island0Indy1Final · Home23 MayLexington1Indy3Final · Home9 MayJacksonville1Indy2Final · Away2 MayTampa Bay1Indy0Final · Away19 AprBirmingham2Indy2Final · Home11 AprMonterey Bay1Indy3Final · Home4 AprPittsburgh1Indy1Final · Away28 MarHartford2Indy2Final · Home21 MarDetroit1Indy2Final · Away8 MarBrooklyn1Indy0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-092026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal8%

Indy 45+ points

Conference Quarterfinals
4IndyHome5Detroit

Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v 8 Rhode Island · 2 Charleston v 7 Hartford · 3 Louisville v 6 Pittsburgh

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,591. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Tampa Bay59
2Charleston52
3Louisville49
4Indy48
5Detroit46
6Pittsburgh44
7Hartford41
8Rhode Island41
-Loudoun36
-Miami32
Reach the quarterfinals on the road77%

Indy 37+ points

Conference Quarterfinals
2CharlestonHome7Indy

Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v 8 Hartford · 3 Louisville v 6 Rhode Island · 4 Detroit v 5 Pittsburgh

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 15,453. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Tampa Bay66
2Charleston54
3Louisville49
4Detroit48
5Pittsburgh45
6Rhode Island41
7Indy41
8Hartford36
-Birmingham35
-Brooklyn29
Miss the postseason15%