Magic Number.
USL Championship · 2026
25th by playoff odds25 clubs

Loudoun

10th · 4-12-10 · 24 pts
Playoffs<1%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
1

Lose the next game and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Could be eliminated as soon as Saturday.

Next upSaturday · Away7:00 PM EDTLoudoun<1%PlayoffsMiami84%PlayoffsMatch resultMFC 49%Draw 25%LDN 26%Win → <1% · Draw → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Home3 OctIndy1Loudoun▼ -212% → <1%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

ConferenceOut
Championship<1%

10th in the table · 25th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish
1st8th · playoff line13th

Most likely 10th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Away7:00 PM EDTLoudoun<1%PlayoffsMiami84%PlayoffsMatch resultMFC 49%Draw 25%LDN 26%Win → <1% · Draw → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs

Upcoming

Wednesday · Away7:30 PM EDTRhode Island99%PlayoffsMatch resultRI 55%Draw 23%LDN 22%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 18 Oct · Away5:00 PM EDTBirminghamOutPlayoffsMatch resultBHM 43%Draw 26%LDN 31%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home5:00 PM EDTBrooklynOutPlayoffsMatch resultLDN 51%Draw 25%BKN 24%<1% → 0% – 0%Playoffs

History

Final · Home3 OctIndy1Loudoun▼ -212% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 SepJacksonville1Loudoun▲ +14<1% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away19 SepLouisville2Loudoun▼ -111% → <1%Playoffs
All results26 played
Final · Home3 OctIndy1Loudoun▼ -212% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 SepJacksonville1Loudoun▲ +14<1% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away19 SepLouisville2Loudoun▼ -111% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away12 SepPittsburgh1Loudoun±003% → 3%PlayoffsFinal · Home4 SepColorado Springs5Loudoun▼ -446% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Away29 AugEl Paso4Loudoun±0110% → 10%PlayoffsFinal · Home22 AugNew Mexico0Loudoun▼ -4015% → 11%PlayoffsFinal · Away15 AugDetroit0Loudoun±0018% → 18%PlayoffsFinal · Home8 AugCharleston1Loudoun±0024% → 24%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugHartford0Loudoun±0214% → 14%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulIndy0Loudoun▲ +814% → 12%PlayoffsFinal · Home18 JulTampa Bay1Loudoun▲ +113% → 4%PlayoffsFinal · Home3 JulJacksonville2Loudoun2Final · Away24 JunCharleston4Loudoun1Final · Away20 JunBirmingham1Loudoun1Final · Home13 JunRhode Island4Loudoun1Final · Away30 MayMonterey Bay4Loudoun1Final · Home23 MayDetroit0Loudoun0Final · Away9 MayBrooklyn0Loudoun1Final · Home2 MayOakland2Loudoun2Final · Away18 AprHartford0Loudoun0Final · Home10 AprLouisville3Loudoun3Final · Home4 AprBirmingham2Loudoun2Final · Away28 MarTampa Bay3Loudoun1Final · Home21 MarMiami0Loudoun0Final · Home14 MarPittsburgh3Loudoun2

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-092026-10-05

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinalNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Reach the quarterfinals on the roadNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Miss the postseason>99%