Magic Number - Loudoun United 2026

Playoffs15%

Elimination number

The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.

10

Lose the next 10 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Home6:30 PM EDTLoudoun15%PlayoffsNew Mexico>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLDN 30%Draw 26%NM 44%Win → 23% · Draw → 12% · Loss → 7%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Away15 AugDetroit0Loudoun±0018% → 18%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%

Championship<1%

10th in the table · 19th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish

1st8th · playoff line13th

Most likely 9th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Home6:30 PM EDTLoudoun15%PlayoffsNew Mexico>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLDN 30%Draw 26%NM 44%Win → 23% · Draw → 12% · Loss → 7%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Away9:00 PM EDTEl Paso86%PlayoffsMatch resultELP 52%Draw 24%LDN 24%15% → 8% – 25%Playoffs Fri 4 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTColorado Springs77%PlayoffsMatch resultLDN 38%Draw 27%COS 35%15% → 6% – 20%Playoffs Sat 12 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTPittsburgh98%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 55%Draw 23%LDN 22%15% → 9% – 25%Playoffs

Full schedule11 to play

History

Final · Away15 AugDetroit0Loudoun±0018% → 18%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugCharleston1Loudoun±0024% → 24%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugHartford0Loudoun±0214% → 14%Playoffs

All results19 played

Final · Away15 AugDetroit0Loudoun±0018% → 18%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugCharleston1Loudoun±0024% → 24%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugHartford0Loudoun±0214% → 14%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulIndy0Loudoun▲ +814% → 12%Playoffs Final · Home18 JulTampa Bay1Loudoun▲ +113% → 4%Playoffs Final · Home3 JulJacksonville2Loudoun2 Final · Away24 JunCharleston4Loudoun1 Final · Away20 JunBirmingham1Loudoun1 Final · Home13 JunRhode Island4Loudoun1 Final · Away30 MayMonterey Bay4Loudoun1 Final · Home23 MayDetroit0Loudoun0 Final · Away9 MayBrooklyn0Loudoun1 Final · Home2 MayOakland2Loudoun2 Final · Away18 AprHartford0Loudoun0 Final · Home10 AprLouisville3Loudoun3 Final · Home4 AprBirmingham2Loudoun2 Final · Away28 MarTampa Bay3Loudoun1 Final · Home21 MarMiami0Loudoun0 Final · Home14 MarPittsburgh3Loudoun2

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal<1%

A possible long-shot route: 16 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Loudoun 42+ points

Reach the quarterfinals on the road15%

Loudoun 35+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

1Tampa BayHome8Loudoun

Alongside it: 2 Charleston v 7 Brooklyn · 3 Rhode Island v 6 Pittsburgh · 4 Louisville v 5 Detroit

55% of this route
- above HartfordHartford 1+ point back (97%)
45% of this route
- below HartfordHartford under 47 points (92%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,623. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	60
2	Charleston	56
3	Rhode Island	45
4	Louisville	45
5	Detroit	44
6	Pittsburgh	43
7	Brooklyn	40
8	Loudoun	38
-	Indy	37
-	Hartford	35
-	Miami	30

Miss the postseason85%

Loudoun under 37 points

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 17,059. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	55
2	Pittsburgh	51
3	Charleston	50
4	Louisville	45
5	Detroit	44
6	Rhode Island	43
7	Hartford	41
8	Indy	40
-	Brooklyn	31
-	Loudoun	31