USL Championship · 2026
12th by playoff odds25 clubs

Louisville

7th · 10-7-9 · 37 pts
Playoffs98%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
2

Win the next 2 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Sat 17 Oct.

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

ConferenceOut
Championship5%

7th in the table · 12th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish
1st8th · playoff line13th

Most likely 6th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

History

All results26 played

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-092026-10-05

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal16%

Louisville 46+ points

Conference Quarterfinals
4LouisvilleHome5Hartford

Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v 8 Miami · 2 Charleston v 7 Rhode Island · 3 Detroit v 6 Pittsburgh

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 3,170. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Tampa Bay61
2Charleston52
3Detroit48
4Louisville47
5Hartford44
6Pittsburgh43
7Rhode Island43
8Miami36
-Indy35
-Loudoun33
Reach the quarterfinals on the road82%
Conference Quarterfinals
3DetroitHome6Louisville

Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v 8 Miami · 2 Charleston v 7 Pittsburgh · 4 Hartford v 5 Rhode Island

  1. 49% of this route

  2. 37% of this route

  3. 14% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 8,052. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Tampa Bay59
2Charleston55
3Detroit48
4Hartford46
5Rhode Island45
6Louisville42
7Pittsburgh40
8Miami36
-Indy36
-Birmingham33
Miss the postseason2%