Magic Number - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2026

Playoffs98%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

8

Win the next 8 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Away7:00 PM EDTPittsburgh98%PlayoffsBrooklyn5%PlayoffsMatch resultBKN 33%Draw 26%PIT 41%Win → >99% · Draw → 98% · Loss → 96%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Home15 AugCharleston1Pittsburgh±0395% → 95%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%

Championship3%

5th in the table · 7th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish

1st8th · playoff line13th

Most likely 5th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Away7:00 PM EDTPittsburgh98%PlayoffsBrooklyn5%PlayoffsMatch resultBKN 33%Draw 26%PIT 41%Win → >99% · Draw → 98% · Loss → 96%Playoffs

Upcoming

Wed 26 Aug · Away9:00 PM EDTEl Paso86%PlayoffsMatch resultELP 42%Draw 26%PIT 32%98% → 98% – >99%Playoffs Sat 29 Aug · Home5:00 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 37%Draw 27%TBR 36%98% → 98% – >99%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTMiami10%PlayoffsMatch resultMFC 30%Draw 26%PIT 44%98% → 98% – >99%Playoffs

Full schedule10 to play

History

Final · Home15 AugCharleston1Pittsburgh±0395% → 95%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugSacramento0Pittsburgh±0094% → 94%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugOakland0Pittsburgh±0188% → 88%Playoffs

All results20 played

Final · Home15 AugCharleston1Pittsburgh±0395% → 95%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugSacramento0Pittsburgh±0094% → 94%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugOakland0Pittsburgh±0188% → 88%Playoffs Final · Home29 JulTulsa1Pittsburgh▼ -5093% → 88%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulRhode Island1Pittsburgh▼ -3096% → 93%Playoffs Final · Home18 JulLouisville1Pittsburgh▲ +2394% → 96%Playoffs Final · Away15 JulJacksonville2Pittsburgh1 Final · Home4 JulBrooklyn2Pittsburgh0 Final · Away20 JunHartford0Pittsburgh0 Final · Home13 JunIndy0Pittsburgh1 Final · Home30 MayMiami0Pittsburgh2 Final · Away9 MayLouisville0Pittsburgh2 Final · Home2 MayPhoenix1Pittsburgh0 Final · Home18 AprDetroit1Pittsburgh2 Final · Away12 AprBirmingham1Pittsburgh0 Final · Away4 AprIndy1Pittsburgh1 Final · Home28 MarJacksonville2Pittsburgh3 Final · Away21 MarTampa Bay3Pittsburgh0 Final · Away14 MarLoudoun2Pittsburgh3 Final · Away7 MarCharleston2Pittsburgh1

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal38%

Pittsburgh 45+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

3PittsburghHome6Miami

Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v 8 Birmingham · 2 Charleston v 7 Indy · 4 Louisville v 5 Detroit

39% of this route
- above DetroitDetroit 1+ point back (92%)
- above LouisvilleLouisville under 51 points (92%)
37% of this route
- above DetroitDetroit under 48 points (92%)
- below LouisvilleLouisville under 57 points (94%)
24% of this route
- below DetroitDetroit under 56 points (90%)
- above LouisvilleLouisville under 52 points (91%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,919. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	65
2	Charleston	55
3	Pittsburgh	50
4	Louisville	46
5	Detroit	45
6	Miami	43
7	Indy	41
8	Birmingham	36
-	Hartford	34
-	Loudoun	33

Reach the quarterfinals on the road61%

Pittsburgh 39+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

4DetroitHome5Pittsburgh

Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v 8 Indy · 2 Charleston v 7 Hartford · 3 Louisville v 6 Rhode Island

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 12,126. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	63
2	Charleston	60
3	Louisville	49
4	Detroit	48
5	Pittsburgh	43
6	Rhode Island	43
7	Hartford	37
8	Indy	36
-	Miami	33
-	Loudoun	30

Miss the postseason2%

Pittsburgh under 40 points

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 302. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	67
2	Rhode Island	54
3	Charleston	46
4	Detroit	45
5	Louisville	44
6	Indy	42
7	Hartford	41
8	Miami	40
-	Pittsburgh	36
-	Loudoun	34