Minnesota 14+ wins
Divisional Round
1MinnesotaHomeWild Card Round winner4 Atlanta or 5 Green Bay
Alongside it: Wild Card Round winner v Wild Card Round winner
NFL · 2026
13th by playoff odds32 clubs
Minnesota
13th by playoff odds · 0-0-0Minnesota Vikings saved.Your home page now opens on it — its chances, how far it has moved, and its next game. Saved in this browser only.Continue with Google
Playoffs54%
Magic number
17
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
Win the next 17 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.
Elimination number
17
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
Lose the next 17 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.
Chances
The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.
13th by playoff odds.
NFC North finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner
Most likely 1st. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.
NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th
Most likely 2nd. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.
Schedule
The next game and what follows it. Nothing has been played yet.
Upcoming
Sun 20 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTChicago48%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 57%Tie <1%MIN 43%54% → 53% – 75%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Away4:05 PM EDTTampa Bay34%PlayoffsMatch resultTB 40%Tie <1%MIN 60%54% → 49% – 71%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Home4:05 PM EDTMiami30%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 72%Tie <1%MIA 27%54% → 51% – 70%Playoffs
Full schedule17 to play
Sun 13 Sep · Home4:25 PM EDTGreen Bay43%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 62%Tie <1%GB 38%54% → 47% – 71%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTChicago48%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 57%Tie <1%MIN 43%54% → 53% – 75%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Away4:05 PM EDTTampa Bay34%PlayoffsMatch resultTB 40%Tie <1%MIN 60%54% → 49% – 71%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Home4:05 PM EDTMiami30%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 72%Tie <1%MIA 27%54% → 51% – 70%PlayoffsSun 11 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTNew Orleans36%PlayoffsMatch resultNO 37%Tie <1%MIN 62%54% → 51% – 71%PlayoffsSun 25 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTIndianapolis33%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 73%Tie <1%IND 27%54% → 48% – 67%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTDetroit54%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 55%Tie <1%MIN 45%28% → 27% – 49%DivisionMon 9 Nov · Home8:15 PM ESTBuffalo63%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 51%Tie <1%BUF 49%54% → 55% – 71%PlayoffsSun 15 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTGreen Bay43%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 52%Tie <1%MIN 48%54% → 55% – 74%PlayoffsSun 22 Nov · Away8:20 PM EST49ers61%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 62%Tie <1%MIN 38%54% → 59% – 76%PlayoffsSun 29 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTAtlanta48%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 66%Tie <1%ATL 33%54% → 55% – 74%PlayoffsSun 6 Dec · Home4:25 PM ESTCarolina32%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 72%Tie <1%CAR 28%54% → 54% – 72%PlayoffsThu 10 Dec · Away8:15 PM ESTNew England67%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 66%Tie <1%MIN 33%28% → 34% – 50%DivisionSun 20 Dec · Home8:20 PM ESTDetroit54%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 59%Tie <1%DET 41%28% → 26% – 50%DivisionSun 27 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTWashington25%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 77%Tie <1%WAS 23%54% → 56% – 73%PlayoffsSun 3 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTJets13%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 25%Tie <1%MIN 75%28% → 31% – 47%DivisionSun 10 Jan · Home1:00 PM ESTChicago48%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 57%Tie <1%CHI 42%28% → 34% – 56%Division
Season so far
Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.
Paths
Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.
Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it
Win the division with a first-round bye8%
Win the division, host a Wild Card game20%
Minnesota 11+ wins
Wild Card Round
2MinnesotaHome749ers
Alongside it: 3 Carolina v 6 Rams · 4 Philadelphia v 5 Green Bay
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 2 | Minnesota | 12 | 4 | 1 |
| 3 | Carolina | 11 | 5 | 1 |
| 4 | Philadelphia | 11 | 5 | 1 |
| 5 | Green Bay | 12 | 4 | 1 |
| 6 | Rams | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 7 | 49ers | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| - | Atlanta | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | Tampa Bay | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | Chicago | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| - | Detroit | 8 | 9 | 0 |
Wild Card berth, on the road26%
Minnesota 9+ wins
Wild Card Round
4AtlantaHome5Minnesota
Alongside it: 2 Chicago v 7 Giants · 3 Philadelphia v 6 Seattle
61% of this route
- above WashingtonWashington out of the postseason (94%) · Washington 2+ games back (90%)
- above New OrleansNew Orleans out of the postseason (94%) · New Orleans 1+ game back (97%)
22% of this route
- above WashingtonWashington out of the postseason (96%) · Washington 1+ game back (97%)
- below New OrleansNew Orleans under 14.5 wins (94%)
17% of this route
- below WashingtonWashington under 14.5 wins (94%)
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 49ers | 13 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | Chicago | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 3 | Philadelphia | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 4 | Atlanta | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 5 | Minnesota | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 6 | Seattle | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 7 | Giants | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | Carolina | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| - | Tampa Bay | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| - | New Orleans | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| - | Washington | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Miss the postseason46%
Minnesota under 10.5 wins
65% of this route
- below DetroitDetroit under 15 wins (90%)
- below Green BayGreen Bay under 14.5 wins (93%)
20% of this route
- below DetroitDetroit under 15.5 wins (94%)
- above Green BayGreen Bay 1+ game back (98%)
15% of this route
- above DetroitDetroit 1+ game back (98%)