49ers 13+ wins
Divisional Round
149ersHomeWild Card Round winner4 Giants or 5 Minnesota
Alongside it: Wild Card Round winner v Wild Card Round winner
NFL · 2026
3rd by playoff odds32 clubs
49ers
1st · 4-0-0San Francisco 49ers saved.Your home page now opens on it — its chances, how far it has moved, and its next game. Saved in this browser only.Continue with Google
Playoffs80%
Magic number
11
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
Win the next 11 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.
Chances
The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.
1st in the table · 3rd by playoff odds.
NFC West finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner
Most likely 1st. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.
NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th
Most likely 1st. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.
Schedule
The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.
Upcoming
Mon 19 Oct · Home8:15 PM EDTWashington18%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 79%Tie <1%WAS 21%51% → 63% – 77%DivisionSun 25 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTAtlanta51%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 42%Tie <1%SF 57%51% → 66% – 80%DivisionSun 8 Nov · Home4:05 PM ESTLas Vegas46%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 74%Tie <1%LV 26%51% → 63% – 77%Division
Full schedule13 to play
Sunday · Away4:25 PM EDTSeattle66%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 55%Tie <1%SF 45%51% → 65% – 87%DivisionMon 19 Oct · Home8:15 PM EDTWashington18%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 79%Tie <1%WAS 21%51% → 63% – 77%DivisionSun 25 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTAtlanta51%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 42%Tie <1%SF 57%51% → 66% – 80%DivisionSun 8 Nov · Home4:05 PM ESTLas Vegas46%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 74%Tie <1%LV 26%51% → 63% – 77%DivisionSun 15 Nov · Away4:25 PM ESTDallas37%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 38%Tie <1%SF 61%51% → 64% – 79%DivisionSun 22 Nov · Home8:20 PM ESTMinnesota83%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 51%Tie <1%MIN 49%51% → 66% – 80%DivisionSun 29 Nov · Home4:25 PM ESTSeattle66%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 59%Tie <1%SEA 41%51% → 57% – 85%DivisionSun 6 Dec · Away1:00 PM ESTGiants47%PlayoffsMatch resultNYG 39%Tie <1%SF 61%51% → 63% – 78%DivisionSun 13 Dec · Home4:25 PM ESTRams49%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 66%Tie <1%LAR 33%51% → 58% – 78%DivisionThu 17 Dec · Away8:15 PM ESTChargers11%PlayoffsMatch resultLAC 33%Tie <1%SF 67%51% → 60% – 75%DivisionSun 27 Dec · Away4:25 PM ESTKansas City80%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 50%Tie <1%SF 50%51% → 66% – 78%DivisionSun 3 Jan · Home8:20 PM ESTPhiladelphia44%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 70%Tie <1%PHI 29%51% → 64% – 75%DivisionSun 10 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTArizona10%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 29%Tie <1%SF 71%51% → 61% – 75%Division
Season so far
Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.
Paths
Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.
Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it
Win the division with a first-round bye25%
Win the division, host a Wild Card game26%
49ers 11+ wins
Wild Card Round
349ersHome6Detroit
Alongside it: 2 Philadelphia v 7 Minnesota · 4 Atlanta v 5 Washington
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 2 | Philadelphia | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 3 | 49ers | 12 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 | Atlanta | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 5 | Washington | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 6 | Detroit | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 7 | Minnesota | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| - | Seattle | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | Rams | 8 | 8 | 1 |
Wild Card berth, on the road29%
49ers 9.5+ wins
Wild Card Round
3GiantsHome649ers
Alongside it: 2 Minnesota v 7 Rams · 4 Atlanta v 5 Detroit
49% of this route
- below SeattleSeattle under 15.5 wins (95%)
- below MinnesotaMinnesota under 16.5 wins (97%)
27% of this route
- above SeattleSeattle under 11.5 wins (97%)
24% of this route
- below SeattleSeattle under 15.5 wins (95%)
- above MinnesotaMinnesota under 11.5 wins (95%)
How the table finishedthe middle season
Miss the postseason20%
49ers under 10.5 wins
78% of this route
- below RamsRams under 13.5 wins (92%)
22% of this route
- above RamsRams 1+ game back (98%)